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Casualties And Consensus Summary

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In “Casualties and Consensus,” Larson argues the historical record for the American public’s acceptable levels of casualties in U.S. military operations. In his examination, he assumes the calculation of a Clausewitzian theory of “ends and means” is a simple one based solely on public opinion, when in fact it is a complex formula. To illustrate, largely the “ends and means” equation is comprised of the benefits, success rates, costs, and expectations for the proposed intervention, yet he adds public opinion to the equation, ignoring the fact that opinion polls are highly subjective in nature. Doing this skews the results. Some of Larson’s assumptions are spot-on, but he misses some critical points. Foremost, Larson assumes that the American public considers the same aspects of intervention in casting their opinion that politicians and military analysts evaluate in making their decisions. However, this is not a valid formulary. In reality, public opinion polls are primarily intrinsic, meaning they are based highly on individual emotions and interests, instead of due-diligence analysis and facts. Because of this dichotomy, public opinion polls should not guide public policy. …show more content…

Looking at his proposed data, one might believe his assertion. However, his skewed data is problematic. For example, in table 2.3 he offers public opinion data based on the input of “leaders from San Jose, Calif.” The utilization of this data presents a couple problems. For one, California is comprised of highly Democrat-based political beliefs, which can skew a poll in a certain direction. Another issue is that “leaders” tend to be well-informed and well-educated individuals with economic interests that can guide them in a different direction than lower- and middle-class

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