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Analysis of James Howard Kunstler's 'The Long Emergency'

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The Long Emergency Introduction If author James Howard Kunstler is to be believed, the world is running out of oil faster than most people believe, and the emergence of alternative, renewable energy sources won't be enough to fill the void left by the disappearance of fossil fuels. Kunstler's book is foreboding and dark, and while he may be right in some ways about the potential calamity when the world's industrial engines begin to run out of fuel, he seems to be more apocalyptic than realistically futuristic. This paper reviews and critiques Kunstler's book in a point-by-point format and challenges some of his more extreme predictions. Is Kunstler Relying on Doomsday or on Facts? First of all it should be noted that Kunstler is not an economist, he is not from the academic community, and he is not a university scholar. And while a writer doesn't have to have great credentials as a scholar to write a book like this one, Kunstler's credibility is on the line when his narrative is overloaded with claims like: a) "…all bets are off about civilization's future"; b) a "dazed and crippled America" will either regroup or "die-back"; and c) while society struggles with a loss of electricity, "designer viruses" will whittle down the world's population. Indeed the world is going to run out of oil in at some point in time, but Kunstler offers an extraordinarily provocative argument that is driven by negative prognostications and in doing so he puts himself out on a literary limb

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