ty 31 18 15 Medium Facility 20
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Given is a decision payoff table and a Sub Decision Payoff Table. Use Minimax Regret as an evaluation criterion to evaluate alternatives.
Future DemandAlternativesLowModerateHighSmall Facility311815Medium Facility203521Large Facility-103135
AlternativesWorst RegretsSmall Facility?Medium Facility?Large Facility?
a) The worst regrets for alternative Small Facility is ( )
b) The worst regrets for alternative Medium Facility is ( )
c) The worst regrets for alternative Large Facility is ( )
d) The best course of action or decision by using Minimax Regret is to select ( ) facility
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- Scenario 4 Sharon Gillespie, a new buyer at Visionex, Inc., was reviewing quotations for a tooling contract submitted by four suppliers. She was evaluating the quotes based on price, target quality levels, and delivery lead time promises. As she was working, her manager, Dave Cox, entered her office. He asked how everything was progressing and if she needed any help. She mentioned she was reviewing quotations from suppliers for a tooling contract. Dave asked who the interested suppliers were and if she had made a decision. Sharon indicated that one supplier, Apex, appeared to fit exactly the requirements Visionex had specified in the proposal. Dave told her to keep up the good work. Later that day Dave again visited Sharons office. He stated that he had done some research on the suppliers and felt that another supplier, Micron, appeared to have the best track record with Visionex. He pointed out that Sharons first choice was a new supplier to Visionex and there was some risk involved with that choice. Dave indicated that it would please him greatly if she selected Micron for the contract. The next day Sharon was having lunch with another buyer, Mark Smith. She mentioned the conversation with Dave and said she honestly felt that Apex was the best choice. When Mark asked Sharon who Dave preferred, she answered, Micron. At that point Mark rolled his eyes and shook his head. Sharon asked what the body language was all about. Mark replied, Look, I know youre new but you should know this. I heard last week that Daves brother-in-law is a new part owner of Micron. I was wondering how soon it would be before he started steering business to that company. He is not the straightest character. Sharon was shocked. After a few moments, she announced that her original choice was still the best selection. At that point Mark reminded Sharon that she was replacing a terminated buyer who did not go along with one of Daves previous preferred suppliers. What should Sharon do in this situation?Scenario 4 Sharon Gillespie, a new buyer at Visionex, Inc., was reviewing quotations for a tooling contract submitted by four suppliers. She was evaluating the quotes based on price, target quality levels, and delivery lead time promises. As she was working, her manager, Dave Cox, entered her office. He asked how everything was progressing and if she needed any help. She mentioned she was reviewing quotations from suppliers for a tooling contract. Dave asked who the interested suppliers were and if she had made a decision. Sharon indicated that one supplier, Apex, appeared to fit exactly the requirements Visionex had specified in the proposal. Dave told her to keep up the good work. Later that day Dave again visited Sharons office. He stated that he had done some research on the suppliers and felt that another supplier, Micron, appeared to have the best track record with Visionex. He pointed out that Sharons first choice was a new supplier to Visionex and there was some risk involved with that choice. Dave indicated that it would please him greatly if she selected Micron for the contract. The next day Sharon was having lunch with another buyer, Mark Smith. She mentioned the conversation with Dave and said she honestly felt that Apex was the best choice. When Mark asked Sharon who Dave preferred, she answered, Micron. At that point Mark rolled his eyes and shook his head. Sharon asked what the body language was all about. Mark replied, Look, I know youre new but you should know this. I heard last week that Daves brother-in-law is a new part owner of Micron. I was wondering how soon it would be before he started steering business to that company. He is not the straightest character. Sharon was shocked. After a few moments, she announced that her original choice was still the best selection. At that point Mark reminded Sharon that she was replacing a terminated buyer who did not go along with one of Daves previous preferred suppliers. What does the Institute of Supply Management code of ethics say about financial conflicts of interest?Given is a decision payoff table and a Sub Decision Payoff Table. Use Minimax Regret as an evaluation criterion to evaluate alternatives. Alternatives Low Future Demand Moderate High Small Facility 52 42 43 Medium Facility 50 49 49 Large Facility -15 38 Alternatives Small Facility Medium Facility Large Facility Worst Regrets ? ? ? a) The worst regrets for alternative Small Facility is Blank 1 b) The worst regrets for alternative Medium Facility is Blank 2 c) The worst regrets for alternative Large Facility is Blank 3 d) The best course of action or decision by using Minimax Regret is to select Blank 4 facility 51
- Given is a decision payoff table and a Sub Decision Payoff Table. Use Minimax Regret as an evaluation criterion to evaluate alternatives. Alternatives Low Future Demand Moderate Small Facility 49 48 Medium Facility 46 47 Large Facility -12 112 47 Alternatives Small Facility Medium Facility Large Facility Worst Regrets ? ? ? a) The worst regrets for alternative Small Facility is Blank 1 b) The worst regrets for alternative Medium Facility is Blank 2 c) The worst regrets for alternative Large Facility is Blank 3 d) The best course of action or decision by using Minimax Regret is to select Blank 4 facility 47 ཆེ་ཆེ་བེ་རྡོ HighGiven is a decision payoff table. Alternatives Small Facility Medium Facility Large Facility Low 26 18 -7 Future Demand Moderate 21 31 30 High 18 22 42 a) The best decision under uncertainty using MAXIMAX is to select Blank 1 facility b) The best decision under uncertainty using MAXIMIN is to select Blank 2 facility c) The best decision under uncertainty using LAPLACE/EQUALITY LIKELY is to select Blank 3 facility d) If the probabilities for Future Demand when it is Low-0.35, Moderate -0.30, and High-0.35, the expected monetary value (EMV) for the large facility-Blank 4.As a result of the Government of Bahrain's decision to close indoor restaurants, Maryam, a restaurant owner, and manager, evaluated two options. The first is to build a drive-thru, and the second is to join an Online Food Delivery Business. She is only concerned about the cost and accordingly conducted a cost analysis of both options. She decided to go online as it is 70% less costly than the drive-thru option. In assessing the alternatives, specify the criteria that Maryam used and the three criteria that she ignored. Explain your answer.
- (a) Construct a decision tree for this problem. (Enter your answers in thousands of dollars.) Decision Tree Description Agency 1 No Agency 3 5 What is the expected value (in thousands of dollars)? 100000 * thousand dollars 6 10 (b) What is the recommended decision if the agency opinion is not used? O produce pilot, d₂ Ⓒsell to competitor, d₂ $3 (f) Is the agency's information worth the $5,000 fee? O Yes Ⓒ No -105000 45000 145000 95000 95000 95000 -105000 45000 145000 95000 95000 95000 -100000 50000 150000 100000 100000 100000 (c) What is the expected value of perfect information (in thousands of dollars)? 24560 * thousand dollars (d) What is Hale's optimal decision strategy assuming the agency's information is used? If favorable, produce .If unfavorable, sell X X X X X X X X x X X X X X X X X X (e) What is the expected value (in thousands of dollars) of the agency's information? (Round your answer to two decimal places.) 102415 X thousand dollars What is the maximum that Hale should be…Hale's Productions is considering producing a pilot for a comedy series in the hope of selling it to a major streaming service. The streaming service may decide to reject the series, but it may also decide to purchase the rights to the series for either one or two years. At this point in time, Hale may either produce the pilot and wait for the streaming service's decision or transfer the rights for the pilot and series to a competitor for $100,000. Hale's decision alternatives and profits (in thousands of dollars) are as follows: State of Nature Decision Alternative Reject, $1 1 Year, $2 2 Years, S3 Produce pilot, d₁ -100 50 150 Sell to competitor, d₂ 100 100 100 The probabilities for the states of nature are P(s₁) = 0.1947, P(s2) = 0.3141, and P(S3) = 0.4912. For a consulting fee of $5,000, an agency will review the plans for the comedy series and indicate the overall chances of a favorable streaming service reaction to the series. Assume that the agency review will result in a…Given is a decision payoff table. Alternatives Low Future Demand Moderate High 91 130 102 81 Small Facility 111 Medium Facility 51 Large Facility -12 124 126 a) The best decision under uncertainty using MAXIMAX is to select Blank 1 facility b) The best decision under uncertainty using MAXIMIN is to select Blank 2 facility c) The best decision under uncertainty using LAPLACE/EQUALITY LIKELY is to select Blank 3 facility d) If the probabilities for Future Demand when it is Low = 0.35, Moderate = 0.30, and High = 0.35, the expected monetary value (EMV) for the large facility Blank 4. e) If the probabilities for Future Demand when it is Low = 0.35, Moderate = 0.30, and High = 0.35, the best decision under risk is to select Blank 5 facility.
- John and Jane Darling are newlyweds trying to decide amongseveral available rentals. Alternatives were scored on a scaleof 1 to 5 (5 = best) against weighted performance criteria,as shown in Table 13.7. The criteria included rent, proximity to work and recreational opportunities, security, and otherneighborhood characteristics associated with the couple’svalues and lifestyle. Alternative A is an apartment, B is abungalow, C is a condo, and D is a downstairs apartment inJane’s parents’ home.Which location is indicated by the preference matrix? Whatqualitative factors might cause this preference to change?5. Business Feasibility Analysis of the demand (include highlights of the findings of the market feasibility study), risk (include business and market risks), environmental impact. 6. Justification of the Business Economic, social and personal benefits.A hotel is runned by a manager and the owners propsoed a new proposal to increase their sales and if the manager does increases the sales they will pay him addiotional 10k but if they stick to their current situation what are the pros and cons, List 4 pros and 4 cons for status quo.