Mad Scientist, Inc. is considering investing into the nanotechnology business. After conducting a detailed due diligence process, the company's board decided that the current cost of entry into the nanotechnology business is too high. The board also thinks that the commercialization of technological advancements will eventually drive costs down and the company should get into the nanotech business one or two years from now, when they can realize a higher NPV on their investment. Given the above, the board has chosen the option to: Expand Abandon Delay

Mad Scientist, Inc. is considering investing into the nanotechnology business. After conducting a detailed due diligence process, the company's board decided that the current cost of entry into the nanotechnology business is too high. The board also thinks that the commercialization of technological advancements will eventually drive costs down and the company should get into the nanotech business one or two years from now, when they can realize a higher NPV on their investment. Given the above, the board has chosen the option to: Expand Abandon Delay

Essentials of Business Analytics (MindTap Course List)

2nd Edition

ISBN:9781305627734

Author:Jeffrey D. Camm, James J. Cochran, Michael J. Fry, Jeffrey W. Ohlmann, David R. Anderson

Publisher:Jeffrey D. Camm, James J. Cochran, Michael J. Fry, Jeffrey W. Ohlmann, David R. Anderson

Chapter5: Probability: An Introduction To Modeling Uncertainty

Section: Chapter Questions

Problem 18P: The J.R. Ryland Computer Company is considering a plant expansion to enable the company to begin...

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OptiLux is considering investing in an automated manufacturing system. The system requires an initial investment of $6.0 million, has a 20-year life, and will have zero salvage value. If the system is implemented, the company will save $820,000 per year in direct labor costs. The company requires a 12% return from its investments.1. Compute the proposed investment’s net present value.2. Using your answer from part 1, is the investment’s internal rate of return higher or lower than 12%?
Howard Weiss, Inc., is considering building a sensitive new radiation scanning device. His managers believe that there is a probability of 0.4 that the ATR Co. will come out with a competitive product. If Weiss adds an assembly line for the product and ATR Co does not follow with a competitive product, Weiss's expected profit is $40,000, if Weiss adds an assembly line and ATR follows suit, Weiss still expects $10,000 profit. If Weiss adds a new plant addition and ATR does not produce a competitive product, Weiss expects a profit of $600,000, if ATR does compete for this market, Weiss expects a loss of $100,000 a) Determine the EMV of each decision. b) Compute the expected value of perfect information.
Ian Corp. is considering two expansion projects. The first project streamlines the company’s warehousing facilities. The second project automates inventory utilizing bar code scanners. Both projects generate positive NPV, yet Ian Corp. only chooses the bar coding project. Why? The payback is greater than the warehouse project’s life. The internal rate of return of the warehousing project is less than the company’s required rate of return for capital projects. The company is practicing capital rationing. All of the above are true.
Applied Nanotech is thinking about introducing a new surface cleaning machine. The engineering department has come up with the estimate that developing the machine will take a $7.5 million initial investment. If unsuccessful, after the first year the project can be dismantled and will have an after tax salvage value of $3.5 million. If the risk-free rate is 4% and the volatility of the business is 40%, determine the value of the option to abandon. Determine whether the company should dismantle the project.
Adidas is evaluating a proposal for a new product. If they launch the product, they will use an existing facility in the production process, which they previously acquired for $4 million. They currently lease it to a third party, and they expect to continue to do so if they don't use it for the new product. They rent it out for $102,000 and they expect that to remain flat for the foreseeable future. The project requires immediate investment in CAPX of $1.3 million, which will be depreciated on a straight-line basis over the next 10 years for tax purposes. The project will end after eight years, at which time they expect to salvage some of the initital CAPX and sell it for $469,000. The project requires immediate working capital investments equal to 10% of predicted first-year sales. After that, working capital will remain at 10% of the following year's expected sales. They expect sales to be $4.6 million in the first year and to stay constant for eight years. Total…
Frozen Pizza Co. is considering whether it should allocate funds for research on an instant freeze-dry process for home use. If the research is successful (and the R&D manager feels there is a 75% chance it will be), the firm could market the product at a PhP 4 million profit. However, if the research is unsuccessful, the, firm will incur a PhP 6 million loss. What is the expected monetary value (EMV)of proceeding with the research? *
The J.R. Ryland Computer Company is considering a plant expansion to enable the company to begin production of a new computer product. The companys president must determine whether to make the expansion a medium- or large-scale project. Demand for the new product is uncertain, which for planning purposes may be low demand, medium demand, or high demand. The probability estimates for demand are 0.20, 0.50, and 0.30, respectively. Letting x and y indicate the annual profit in thousands of dollars, the firms planners developed the following profit forecasts for the medium-and large-scale expansion projects. a. Compute the expected value for the profit associated with the two expansion alternatives. Which decision is preferred for the objective of maximizing the expected profit? b. Compute the variance for the profit associated with the two expansion alternatives. Which decision is preferred for the objective of minimizing the risk or uncertainty?
Mallette Manufacturing, Inc., produces washing machines, dryers, and dishwashers. Because of increasing competition, Mallette is considering investing in an automated manufacturing system. Since competition is most keen for dishwashers, the production process for this line has been selected for initial evaluation. The automated system for the dishwasher line would replace an existing system (purchased one year ago for 6 million). Although the existing system will be fully depreciated in nine years, it is expected to last another 10 years. The automated system would also have a useful life of 10 years. The existing system is capable of producing 100,000 dishwashers per year. Sales and production data using the existing system are provided by the Accounting Department: All cash expenses with the exception of depreciation, which is 6 per unit. The existing equipment is being depreciated using straight-line with no salvage value considered. The automated system will cost 34 million to purchase, plus an estimated 20 million in software and implementation. (Assume that all investment outlays occur at the beginning of the first year.) If the automated equipment is purchased, the old equipment can be sold for 3 million. The automated system will require fewer parts for production and will produce with less waste. Because of this, the direct material cost per unit will be reduced by 25 percent. Automation will also require fewer support activities, and as a consequence, volume-related overhead will be reduced by 4 per unit and direct fixed overhead (other than depreciation) by 17 per unit. Direct labor is reduced by 60 percent. Assume, for simplicity, that the new investment will be depreciated on a pure straight-line basis for tax purposes with no salvage value. Ignore the half-life convention. The firms cost of capital is 12 percent, but management chooses to use 20 percent as the required rate of return for evaluation of investments. The combined federal and state tax rate is 40 percent. Required: 1. Compute the net present value for the old system and the automated system. Which system would the company choose? 2. Repeat the net present value analysis of Requirement 1, using 12 percent as the discount rate. 3. Upon seeing the projected sales for the old system, the marketing manager commented: Sales of 100,000 units per year cannot be maintained in the current competitive environment for more than one year unless we buy the automated system. The automated system will allow us to compete on the basis of quality and lead time. If we keep the old system, our sales will drop by 10,000 units per year. Repeat the net present value analysis, using this new information and a 12 percent discount rate. 4. An industrial engineer for Mallette noticed that salvage value for the automated equipment had not been included in the analysis. He estimated that the equipment could be sold for 4 million at the end of 10 years. He also estimated that the equipment of the old system would have no salvage value at the end of 10 years. Repeat the net present value analysis using this information, the information in Requirement 3, and a 12 percent discount rate. 5. Given the outcomes of the previous four requirements, comment on the importance of providing accurate inputs for assessing investments in automated manufacturing systems.
Hemmingway, Inc. is considering a $5 million research and development (R&D) project. Profit projections appear promising, but Hemmingway’s president is concerned because the probability that the R&D project will be successful is only 0.50. Furthermore, the president knows that even if the project is successful, it will require that the company build a new production facility at a cost of $20 million in order to manufacture the product. If the facility is built, uncertainty remains about the demand and thus uncertainty about the profit that will be realized. Another option is that if the R&D project is successful, the company could sell the rights to the product for an estimated $25 million. Under this option, the company would not build the $20 million production facility. The decision tree follows. The profit projection for each outcome is shown at the end of the branches. For example, the revenue projection for the high demand outcome is $59 million. However, the cost of the R&D project ($5 million) and the cost of the production facility ($20 million) show the profit of this outcome to be $59 – $5 – $20 = $34 million. Branch probabilities are also shown for the chance events. Analyze the decision tree to determine whether the company should undertake the R&D project. If it does, and if the R&D project is successful, what should the company do? What is the expected value of your strategy? What must the selling price be for the company to consider selling the rights to the product? Develop a risk profile for the optimal strategy.
Southland Corporation’s decision to produce a new line of recreational products resulted in the need to construct either a small plant or a large plant. The best selection of plant size depends on how the marketplace reacts to the new product line. To conduct an analysis, marketing management has decided to view the possible long-run demand as low, medium, or high. The following payoff table shows the projected profit in millions of dollars: What is the decision to be made, and what is the chance event for Southland’s problem? Construct a decision tree. Recommend a decision based on the use of the optimistic, conservative, and minimax regret approaches.
Austins cell phone manufacturer wants to upgrade their product mix to encompass an exciting new feature on their cell phone. This would require a new high-tech machine. You are excited about his new project and are recommending the purchase to your board of directors. Here is the information you have compiled in order to complete this recommendation: According to the information, the project will last 10 years and require an initial investment of $800,000, depreciated with straight-line over the life of the project until the final value is zero. The firms tax rate is 30% and the required rate of return is 12%. You believe that the variable cost and sales volume may be as much as 10% higher or lower than the initial estimate. Your boss understands the risks but asks you to explain the alternatives in a brief memo to the board, Write a memo to the Board of Directors objectively weighing out the pros and cons of this project and make your recommendation(s).
Spencer Enterprises is attempting to choose among a series of new investment alternatives. The potential investment alternatives, the net present value of the future stream of returns, the capital requirements, and the available capital funds over the next three years are summarized as follows: Develop and solve an integer programming model for maximizing the net present value. Assume that only one of the warehouse expansion projects can be implemented. Modify your model from part (a). Suppose that if test marketing of the new product is carried out, the advertising campaign also must be conducted. Modify your formulation from part (b) to reflect this new situation.