10. Karl's utility function is U(w) where w is wealth. His initial wealth %3D w+200 300. He considers a gamble in which he could win 200 with probability p or lose 200 with probability 1- p. Karl's preferences in the face of risk are described by expected utility theory. He is indifferent between keeping his initial wealth for sure or taking the gamble if the value of p is is wo (a) 4 (b) .5 (c) .6 (d) .7 (e) .8
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- 1. A woman with current wealth X has the opportunity to bet an amount on the occurrence of an event that she knows will occur with probability P. If she wagers W, she will received 2W, if the event occur and o if it does not. Assume that the Bernoulli utility function takes the form u(x) = -e-rx with r>0. How much should she wager? Does her utility function exhibit CARA, DARA, IARA?Jamal has a utility function 1/2 U W5 , where W is hiswealth in millions of dollars and U is the utility heobtains from that wealth. In the final stage of agame show, the host offers Jamal a choice between(A) $4 million for sure and (B) a gamble that pays$1 million with probability 0.6 and $9 million withprobability 0.4.a. Graph Jamal’s utility function. Is he risk averse?Explain.b. Does A or B offer Jamal the higher expectedprize? Explain your reasoning with appropriatecalculations. (Hint: The expected value of arandom variable is the weighted average of thepossible outcomes, where the probabilities arethe weights.)c. Does A or B offer Jamal the higher expectedutility? Again, show your calculations.d. Should Jamal pick A or B? Why?2. Kier, in The scenario, wants to determine how each of the 3 companies will decide on possible new investments. He was able to determine the new investment pay off for each of the three choices as well as the probability of the two types of market. If a company will launch product 1, it will gain 50,000 if the market is successful and lose 50,000 if the market is a failure. If a company will launch product 2, it will gain 25,000 if the market is successful and lose 25,000 if the market will fail. If a company decides not to launch any of the product, it will not be affected whether the market will succeed or fail. There is a 56% probability that the market will succeed and 44% probability that the market will fail. What will be the companies decision based on EMV? What is the decision of each company based on expected utility value?
- Economics Shawn's consumption is subject to risk. With probability 0.75 he will enjoy 10000 in consumption, but with probability 0.25 he will have only 3600. His utility function for consumption is given by v(c) = Vc. -What is the expected value of Shawn's consumption? -What is his expected utility? -What is his certainty equivalent of having 10000 with probability 0.75 and 3600 with probability 0.25?Jamal has autility function U=W1/2,where W is his wealth in millions of dollars and U is the utitlity he obtains from that wealth.Inthe final stage of a game show,the host offers offers Jamal a choice(A)$4 million dollar for sure,or (B) a gamble that pays $1 million with probability 0.6 and $9million with probability 0.4. a.Graph Jamal's utitility function.Is he risk averse?Explain. b.Does A or B offers Jamal a higher expected price?Explain your reasoning with appropriate calculations. c.Does A or B offer Jamal a higher expected utility? d.Should Jamal pick A or B? Why?2. Ronald has $18,000. But he is forced to bet it on the flip of a fair coin. If he wins he has $36,000. If he loses he has nothing. Ronald's expected utility function is 0.5x0.5 + 0.5y0.5, where x is his wealth if heads comes up and y is his wealth if tails comes up. What safe income would make him exactly as well off as this bet?
- a. Suppose that you took part in a lottery that has a chance to increase, decrease or have no effect on your level of income. With probability 0.5, your income remains at it original level K500; with 0.2 probability, your income increases to K700; and with probability 0.3, your income decreases to K400. The utility function is.u(1) =I^0.7where I denote income leveli.Using the utility function show that the consumer's risk preference is averse. (2marks)ii.Calculate both the EU and EV of the income. (4marks)iii.Using the results in (il) above, indicate the attitude to risk of this consumer. (2marks)3. Suppose that Jon Snow's utility function is given by U(I)=501 where I represents annual income in thousands of dollars. a. Is Jon risk loving, risk neutral, or risk averse? Explain b. Suppose that Jon is currently earning an income of $1000 and can earn that income next year with certainty. He is offered a chance to take a new night watch job that offers a 0.25 probability of earning $2000 and a 0.75 probability of earning $500. Should he take the new night watch job?Submit All Question 28 of 30 Suppose Jon decides to purchase either a long-term Treasury bond or a share of stock from a company in the Dow Jones Industrial Average. Assume that either one will behave similarly to the average security in their class, and ignore the effect of market conditions. Which security is more likely to lose most of its value in the next year after Jon purchases it? O the probabilities of major loss are the same they are both guaranteed to increase in value the stock the bond Based on historical returns, which security is likely to grow more significantly in value after Jon purchases it? the bond 8:27 PM a 46°F E 4) 12/15/202
- 5. An individual has a utility function given by (W) - √W, and initial wealth of $100. If he plays a costless lottery in which he can win or lose $10 at the flip of a coin, compute his expected utility. What is the expected gain? Will such a person be categorized as risk neutral?3) A risk-loving individual has $1000 to invest. The individual maximizes his/her expected utility and has a monotonic utility function. Show that he/she will never choose a diversified portfolio - that is, show that he/she will either keep the entire $1000 in a safe, or invest the entire $1000 in a risky assesst, for which each $1 invested yields $] with probability p, and SB with probability (1-p), where $B<$1<$J.Info : Janet’s attitude to risk (risk averse, risk neutral, or risk loving) is independent of her wealth. She has initial wealth ww and is offered the opportunity to buy a lottery ticket. If she buys it, her final wealth will be either w+4 or w−2, each equally likely. She is indifferent between buying the ticket and not buying it. Janet offers her friend Sam (who has identical preferences and initial wealth) the following proposition: They buy the ticket together, and share the cost and proceeds equally. Should Sam accept the offer?