Is Jon risk loving, risk neutral, or risk averse? Explain b. Suppose that Jon is currently earning an income of $1000 and can earn that income next year with certainty. He is offered a chance to take a new night watch job that offers a 0.25 probability of earning $2000 and a 0.75 probability of earning $500. Should he take the new night watch job? а.
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- Jin's Utility Function Wealth Utility (Dollars) 60,000 4,000 61,000 4,110 62,000 4,209 63,000 4,288 Refer to Table 27-1. If Jin's current wealth is $61,000, then O his gain in utility from gaining $1,000 is less than his loss in utility from losing $1,000. Jin is not risk averse. O his gain in utility from gaining $1,000 is greater than his loss in utility from losing $1,000. Jin is not risk averse. O his gain in utility from gaining $1,000 is greater than his loss in utility from losing $1,000. Jin is risk averse. his gain in utility from gaining $1,000 is less than his loss in utility from losing $1,000. Jin is risk averse.1. A woman with current wealth X has the opportunity to bet an amount on the o ccurrence of an event that she knows will occur with probability P. If she wager s W, she will received 2W, if the event occur and if it does not. Assume that t he Bernoulli utility function takes the form u(x) = -e-TX with r> 0. How much should she wager? Does her utility function exhibit CARA, DARA, IARA?Jamal has a utility function 1/2 U W5 , where W is hiswealth in millions of dollars and U is the utility heobtains from that wealth. In the final stage of agame show, the host offers Jamal a choice between(A) $4 million for sure and (B) a gamble that pays$1 million with probability 0.6 and $9 million withprobability 0.4.a. Graph Jamal’s utility function. Is he risk averse?Explain.b. Does A or B offer Jamal the higher expectedprize? Explain your reasoning with appropriatecalculations. (Hint: The expected value of arandom variable is the weighted average of thepossible outcomes, where the probabilities arethe weights.)c. Does A or B offer Jamal the higher expectedutility? Again, show your calculations.d. Should Jamal pick A or B? Why?
- Jamal has a utility function U= W1/2 where Wis his wealth in millions of 'dollars and Uis the utility he obtains from that wealth. In the final stage of a game show, the host offers Jamal a choice between (A) $4 million for sure, or (B) a gamble that pays $1million with a probability of 0.6 and $9 million with a probability of 0.4. a. Graph Jamal's utility function. Is he risk-averse? Explain. b. Does A or B offer, Jamal, a higher expected price? Explain your reasoning with appropriate calculations. (Hint: The expected value of a random variable is the weighted average of the possible outcomes, where the probabilities are the weights.) c. Does A or B offer Jamal a higher expected utility? Again, show your calculations. d. Should Jamal pick A or B? Why?4) Luke is planning an around-the-world trip on which he plans to spend $10,000. The utility from the trip is a function of how much she spends on it (Y ), given by U(Y) = InY a). If there is a 25 percent probability that Luke will lose $1000 of his cash on the trip, what is the trip's expected utility. b). Suppose that Luke can buy insurance to fully against losing the $1,000 with a actuarially fair insurance. What is his expected utility if he purchase this insurance. Will he purchase the insurance? c). Now suppose utility function is U(Y) = Y/1000 What is his expected utility if he purchase the insurance in b). Will he purchase the insurance?Jamal has autility function U=W1/2,where W is his wealth in millions of dollars and U is the utitlity he obtains from that wealth.Inthe final stage of a game show,the host offers offers Jamal a choice(A)$4 million dollar for sure,or (B) a gamble that pays $1 million with probability 0.6 and $9million with probability 0.4. a.Graph Jamal's utitility function.Is he risk averse?Explain. b.Does A or B offers Jamal a higher expected price?Explain your reasoning with appropriate calculations. c.Does A or B offer Jamal a higher expected utility? d.Should Jamal pick A or B? Why?
- Suppose Grace and Lisa are to go to dinner. Lisa is visiting Grace from outof town, and they are to meet at a local restaurant. When Lisa lived in town,they had two favorite restaurants: Bel Loc Diner and the Corner Stable. Ofcourse, Lisa’s information is out of date, but Grace knows which is betterthese days. Assume that the probability that the Bel Loc Diner is better isp > 1/2 and the probability that the Corner Stable is better is 1 - p. Naturedetermines which restaurant Grace thinks is better. Grace then sends amessage to Lisa, either “Let’s go to the Bel Loc Diner,” “Let’s go to theCorner Stable,” or “I don’t know [which is better].” Lisa receives the message, and then Grace and Lisa simultaneously decide which restaurant to go to. Payoffs are such that Grace and Lisa want to go to the same restaurant, but they prefer it to be the one that Grace thinks is better. More specifically, if, in fact, the Bel Loc Diner is better, then the payoffs from theiractions are as shown in the…Khalid has a utility function U = W1/2, where W is his wealth in millions of dollarsand U is the utility he obtains from the wealth. In a game show, the host offershim a choice between (A) $4 million for sure, or (B) a gamble that pays $1million with probability 0.6 and $9 million with probability 0.4.i. Graph Khalid’s utility function with the help of above utility function. Ishe risk lover? Explain. ii. Does A or B choice offer Khalid a higher expected prize? Explain yourreasoning with appropriate calculations. iii. Does A or B offer Khalid a higher expected utility? Again, show yourcalculations. iv. Should Jamal pick A or B choice? Why?7. Suppose the only game in town involves flipping a fair coin (so Heads and Tails are equally likely), with a $x bet. If Heads comes up, the payoff is $0.9x; if Tails comes up, you lose the $x. You have $10,000, and must win at least $5,000 by tomorrow morning to pay off a debt to a mean dude. a. Compute the likelihood of winning at least $5000 by making a single bet of $10,000. b. Compute the likelihood of winning at least $1000 by playing the game 10,0000 times and betting a dollar each time. What is the likelihood of not losing money? Message learned?
- 4. Kate has von Neumann-Morgenstern utility function U(x1,x2) = m7. She currently has $2025. a. Would she be willing to undertake a gamble that involves a gain $2875 with probability + and a loss of $1125 with probability ? Show your work and explain your answer. b. Would she be willing to undertake a gamble that involves a gain $2599 with probability and a loss of $800 with probability ? Show your work and explain your answer.a Suppose you are given a choice between thefollowing options:A1: Win $30 for sureA2: 80% chance of winning $45 and 20% chance ofA2: winning nothing B1: 25% chance of winning $30B2: 20% chance of winning $45Most people prefer A1 to A2 and B2 to B1. Explainwhy this behavior violates the assumption that decisionmakers maximize expected utility.b Now suppose you play the following game: You havea 75% chance of winning nothing and a 25% chance ofplaying the second stage of the game. If you reach thesecond stage, you have a choice of two options (C1 andC2), but your choice must be made now, before youreach the second stage.C1: Win $30 for sureC2: 80% chance of winning $45 13.5 Bayes’ Rule and Decision Trees 767Most people choose C1 over C2 and B2 to B1 (from part(a)). Explain why this again violates the assumption ofexpected utility maximization. Tversky and Kahneman(1981) speculate that most people are attracted to thesure $30 in the second stage, even though the secondstage may never be…2. Ronald has $18,000. But he is forced to bet it on the flip of a fair coin. If he wins he has $36,000. If he loses he has nothing. Ronald's expected utility function is 0.5x0.5 + 0.5y0.5, where x is his wealth if heads comes up and y is his wealth if tails comes up. What safe income would make him exactly as well off as this bet?