Time Actual (Y) Forecast (Yhat) Forecast Error 100 110 115 120 ? If naïve method is used for the above data, what is the error for period 4, e(4)? Hint: You have to calculate he forecasted value before you can calculate the forecast error. 10 15 can not be determined 1234
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- Can you explain what these two belows mean in regard of GMM and Maximum likelihood. What are we calculating and what is it used to Unconstrained optimizationConstrained optimizatio.A forecasting method has produced the following over the past five months Actual 140 Forecast 154 140 112 140 84 126 112 84 112 ?What is the mean absolute deviation 14-O 16.8 2.8- 116.2. The manager of Petro North gasoline service station wants to forecast the demand for unleaded gasoline next month so that the proper number of gallons can be ordered from the distributor. The manager has accumulated the sales data and forecast accuracy measures during the past 10 months, which are shown in the table below. Fill all blank spaces in the table labeled a through f. Month Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov 3-month Simple Moving Average N/A N/A N/A 1310.00 1340.00 1443.33 1566.67 1800.00 a 1673.33 Sales (in gallons) 1130 1360 1440 b 1670 1810 1920 1630 1470 1510 MAD N/A N/A N/A 90.00 210.00 262.22 С 262.00 271.11 255.71 MAPD N/A N/A N/A 0.074 d 0.167 0.172 0.159 0.167 0.159 MSE N/A N/A N/A 8100 58500 e 94072 81038 84245 76021 CE N/A N/A N/A -90 240.00 606.67 960.00 790.00 f 310.00
- Direction: Complete the table below to find the 60h percentile for the following se of data. Data Find the position of Find P60 P=(n+ 1)th Px100 1. 20, 22, 25, 32, 35 P60 = 20-2 20122 2. 49, 50, 55, 55, 60, 67 P60 = 3. 18, 19, 20, 22, 25,27, 29, 30, 32 P60 = Direction: Read the questions carefully. Encircle the letter of the correThe investment multipier is 2 of the country now find the value of MPC.Dependent Variable: Pass Experience Male Malex Experience Constant Probit Logit (1) (2) 0.031 0.040 (0.009) (0.016) 0.712 (0.126) Linear Probability (3) 0.006 (0.002) 1.059 0.774 (0.221) (0.034) Probit (4) -0.333 (0.161) 1.282 (0.124) Logit (5) -0.622 (0.303) 2.197 (0.242) Linear Probability (6) -0.071 (0.034) 0.900 (0.022) Probit (7) 0.041 (0.156) -0.074 (0.259) -0.015 (0.019) 0.806 (0.200) Problem 1. (~SW 11.2) Using the results of column (2): (a) Does the probability of passing the test depend on Experience? Explain. (b) Matthew has 10 years of driving experience. What is the probability that he will pass the test? (c) Christopher is a new driver (zero years of experience). What is the probability that he will pass the test? (d) Sketch the predicted probabilities from the probit and logit regressions in column (1) and (2) for values of Experience between 0 and 60. Are the probit and logit models similar?
- How do I plot thw points on the graph, im a little confused with the graph that is drawn for this question Note:- Do not provide handwritten solution. Maintain accuracy and quality in your answer. Take care of plagiarism. Answer completely. You will get up vote for sure.QUESTION 3 Annual Fund Returns Over the Past 10 Years Year Return (%) 4.5 6.0 1.5 -20 3 4 15 6 7 19 20 0.0 45 3.5 2.5 5.5 4.0 10 Calculate the geometric mean retur over the 10 years. Give your answer in percent, rounded to two decimal places, so in the format X.XX. Hint, the number zero is not used in the correct answerSales in a company are $188 million in 2009 and increase $208 million in 2010. Compute the percentage increase in sales using the usual formula Compare this value to the approximation The approximation performs (1) percentage change increases. 100 x (1) O better (2) O deteriorates O worst O improves 100 x 100 x (Sales 2010 - Sales 2009) Sales 2009 100 x [In (Sales2010) -In (Sales2009)] (Sales 2010 - Sales2009) Sales 2009 100 x [In (Sales 2010) -In (Sales2009)] = [ (Express your response as a percentage and round to three places) Now, assume that sales in a company are $188 million in 2009 and increase $264 million in 2010. = (Sales2010 - Sales 2009) Sales 2009 % % % 100 x [In (Sales 2010) -In (Sales 2009)] = [ (Express your response as a percentage and round to three places) % when the change is small. The quality of the approximation (2). as the
- Plz complete solution. With 100% accuracy other wise lots of dislikes.make sure the answer is corrrect 100%ATul gets a pocket money allowance of. $ 12 per day. Thinking that this was rather less, he asked his friends about their allowances and obtäined ihe following data which includes his allowance als0 - (amounts ins ). 12, 18, 10, 5, 25, 20, 22, 15, 10, 10. 15, 13, 20, 18, 10, 15, 10, 18, 15, 12, 15, 10, 15, 10, 12, 18, 20, 5, 8, 20. He presented these data to his father and asked for an increase in his allowance as he was getting less than average amount. His father, a statistician, countered pointing out that Atul's allowance was actually more than the average amount. Reconcile these statements.