What is your predicted average population growth rate from this method, in terms of lambda AND % per year? Does that predict an increasing or decreasing population, on average?  Year (t) Nests at time t Nests at t + 1 N(t+1)/N(t) 1983 746 780 1.046 1984 780 702 0.900 1985 702 744 1.060 1986 744 729 0.980 1987 729 843 1.156 1988 843 905 1.074 1989 905 992 1.096 1990 992 1180 1.190 1991 1180 1275 1.081 1992 1275 1241 0.973 1993 1241 1566 1.262 1994 1566 1930 1.232 1995 1930 1915 0.992 1996 1915 2219 1.159 1997 2219 3482 1.569 1998 3482 3365 0.966 1999 3365 5834 1.734 2000 5834 4927 0.845 2001 4927 5525 1.121 2002 5525 7601 1.376 2003 7601 6446 0.848 2004 6446 9258 1.436 2005 9258 10899 1.177 2006 10899         average 1.142

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What is your predicted average population growth rate from this method, in terms of lambda AND % per year? Does that predict an increasing or decreasing population, on average? 

Year (t) Nests at time t Nests at t + 1 N(t+1)/N(t)
1983 746 780 1.046
1984 780 702 0.900
1985 702 744 1.060
1986 744 729 0.980
1987 729 843 1.156
1988 843 905 1.074
1989 905 992 1.096
1990 992 1180 1.190
1991 1180 1275 1.081
1992 1275 1241 0.973
1993 1241 1566 1.262
1994 1566 1930 1.232
1995 1930 1915 0.992
1996 1915 2219 1.159
1997 2219 3482 1.569
1998 3482 3365 0.966
1999 3365 5834 1.734
2000 5834 4927 0.845
2001 4927 5525 1.121
2002 5525 7601 1.376
2003 7601 6446 0.848
2004 6446 9258 1.436
2005 9258 10899 1.177
2006 10899    
    average 1.142
Annual Lambda vs. Time in Kemp's Ridley Turtle Nests
1.900
1.700
y = 0.0102x - 19.183
1.500
R2 = 0.0984
1.300
1.100
.....
...
....
0.900
0.700
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
Year
Number of Nests N(t+1)/N(t)
Transcribed Image Text:Annual Lambda vs. Time in Kemp's Ridley Turtle Nests 1.900 1.700 y = 0.0102x - 19.183 1.500 R2 = 0.0984 1.300 1.100 ..... ... .... 0.900 0.700 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 Year Number of Nests N(t+1)/N(t)
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