What is the most important meeting a demand planner and sales person attends to discuss customer specific information in order to develop a forecast? Jury of execution Delphi Consensus meeting Sales and operations meeting None of the above
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Deamnd Planning -
- What is the most important meeting a demand planner and sales person attends to discuss customer specific information in order to develop a
forecast ?- Jury of execution
- Delphi
- Consensus meeting
- Sales and operations meeting
- None of the above
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- Under what conditions might a firm use multiple forecasting methods?4 .Substitute for Problem # 4 on in attachment)-Calculate the MAD,revised MAD and the Revised Forecast for months 1-6 for the following three groups,where the Forecast stands for Forecast Demand.Has your forecast improved ? Tell me how would you go about improving the revised forecast( for each of the three groups)without actually doing so? Estate Planning Group Auditing and Accounting Group Business Consulting Group Month Actual Demand Forecast Actual Demand Forecast Actual Demand Forecast 1 100 125 270 230 140 135 2 90 125 240 230 130 135 3 110 125 280 230 160 135 4 115 125 260 230 180 135 5 130 125 300 230 200 135 6 115 125 220 230 190 135Sara manages one of the Albireds shoe lines, and is working to improve the group's forecasting capabilities so that production will more closely match actual demand (that's the goal, at least!). Work our the exponential smoothing with a smoothing constant equal to 0.2, (seed the model with a January forecast = 16,000). A weighted moving average using 0.6(t-1), 0.3(t-2) and 0.1(t-3)
- The Toro Cutlery Company has collected monthly sales information below: MONTH January February March April The company is examining two forecasting methods, moving average and exponential smoothing for forecasting sales. a. What will the forecast be for January the following year using a three-, four-, and five-month moving averages? Do not round intermediate calculations. Round your answers to the nearest whole number. Forecast (January, 3-month MA): 87667 Forecast (January, 4-month MA): 72500 Forecast (January, 5-month MA): 69600 b. What will the forecast be for January the following year using exponential smoothing with a = 0.6? Assume the forecast for February this year is 25,000. Do not round intermediate calculations. Round your answer to the nearest whole number. SALES 25,000 18,000 43,000 110,000 MONTH May June July August SALES MONTH 84,000 September 28,000 October 97,000 November 58,000 December SALES 27,000 105,000 82,000 76,000With this regard, critically examine the role of forecasting in ensuring proper management of customer orders1) Describe a scenario that you have encountered recently as a consumer where a business has either under forecast or iver forecast demand for a product that you were planning to purchase. You will generally notice under forecasting if the product is out of stock or over forecasting if there is excess inventory for the item. Describe the imolications to the retailer,manufacturer, and broader supply chain. You can present your response through thr lens of your own discpline (accounting,mafketing,etc.) if you wish. 2) Give three examples from your life in which you may forecast the future. Highlight the importance of accurate forecasting in the three examples you provide.
- Here are the actual tabulated demands for an item for a nine-month period (January through September). Your supervisor wants to test two moving average forecasting methods to see which one was better over this period. Month Actual Demand Jan 120 Feb 140 March 160 April 180 May 170 June 190 July 150 August 160 September 170 a. Forecast April through September using a three-month moving average and calculate MAD for the forecasts. b. Forecast May through September using a four-month moving average and calculate MAD for the forecasts.What advantages does exponential smoothing have over movingcaverages as a forecasting tool?Forecast is calculating estimates of future cycle/s based on data of past cycles -- there is no?
- Accuracy of forecasts. The manager of a large manufacturer of industrial pumps must choose betweentwo alternative forecasting techniques. Both techniques have been used to prepare forecasts for a sixmonth period. Using MAD as a criterion, which technique has the better performance record?FORECASTMonth Demand Technique 1 Technique 21 492 488 4952 470 484 4823 485 480 4784 493 490 4885 498 497 4926 492 493 493Daily time series data are collected forAetna stock closing values (referencedto 100). a) Use exponential smoothing withsmoothing constant 0.4 to completethe table. b) Forecast the next Aetna stock closingvalue and find the boundaries forvalues within 1 MAE of the forecast.t Yt Ft et1 4.09 2 6.073 5.404 7.485 8.31Multiple-Choice Questions 1. Which of the following forecasting methods is (are) more appropriate for the demand given in this figure: a. Simple exponential smoothing b. Double exponential smoothing c. Simple moving average d. The naïve method demand in time