MATLAB: An Introduction with Applications
MATLAB: An Introduction with Applications
6th Edition
ISBN: 9781119256830
Author: Amos Gilat
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons Inc
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A European growth mutual fund specializes in stocks from the British Isles, continental Europe, and Scandinavia. The fund has over 450 stocks. Let x be a
random variable that represents the monthly percentage return for this fund. Suppose x has mean u = 1.5% and standard deviation o = 1.3%.
(a) Let's consider the monthly return of the stocks in the fund to be a sample from the population of monthly returns of all European stocks. Is it
reasonable to assume that x (the average monthly return on the 450 stocks in the fund) has a distribution that is approximately normal? Explain.
Yes
,x is a mean of a sample of n = 450 stocks. By the central limit theorem v
the x distribution is
approximately normal.
(b) After 9 months, what is the probability that the average monthly percentage return x will be between 1% and 2%? (Round your answer to four
decimal places.)
1
(c) After 18 months, what is the probability that the average monthly percentage return x will be between 1% and 2%? (Round your answer to four
decimal places.)
(d) Compare your answers to parts (b) and (c). Did the probability increase as n (number of months) increased? Why would this happen?
O Yes, probability increases as the standard deviation decreases.
O Yes, probability increases as the mean increases.
O Yes, probability increases as the standard deviation increases.
O No, the probability stayed the same.
(e) If after 18 months the average monthly percentage return x is more than 2%, would that tend to shake your confidence in the statement that
u = 1.5%? If this happened, do you think the European stock market might be heating up? (Round your answer to four decimal places.)
P(x > 2%) = |
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Transcribed Image Text:A European growth mutual fund specializes in stocks from the British Isles, continental Europe, and Scandinavia. The fund has over 450 stocks. Let x be a random variable that represents the monthly percentage return for this fund. Suppose x has mean u = 1.5% and standard deviation o = 1.3%. (a) Let's consider the monthly return of the stocks in the fund to be a sample from the population of monthly returns of all European stocks. Is it reasonable to assume that x (the average monthly return on the 450 stocks in the fund) has a distribution that is approximately normal? Explain. Yes ,x is a mean of a sample of n = 450 stocks. By the central limit theorem v the x distribution is approximately normal. (b) After 9 months, what is the probability that the average monthly percentage return x will be between 1% and 2%? (Round your answer to four decimal places.) 1 (c) After 18 months, what is the probability that the average monthly percentage return x will be between 1% and 2%? (Round your answer to four decimal places.) (d) Compare your answers to parts (b) and (c). Did the probability increase as n (number of months) increased? Why would this happen? O Yes, probability increases as the standard deviation decreases. O Yes, probability increases as the mean increases. O Yes, probability increases as the standard deviation increases. O No, the probability stayed the same. (e) If after 18 months the average monthly percentage return x is more than 2%, would that tend to shake your confidence in the statement that u = 1.5%? If this happened, do you think the European stock market might be heating up? (Round your answer to four decimal places.) P(x > 2%) = |
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