Two different forecasting techniques (F1 and F2) were used to forecast demand for cases of bottled water. Actual demand and the two sets of forecasts are as follows: Period 1 2 3 4 5 678 Demand 68 75 70 74 69 72 80 78 PREDICTED DEMAND F2 64 62 70 73 76 79 79 80 F1 62 66 71 67 73 67 73 77

Practical Management Science
6th Edition
ISBN:9781337406659
Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Publisher:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Chapter13: Regression And Forecasting Models
Section13.7: Exponential Smoothing Models
Problem 28P: The file P13_28.xlsx contains monthly retail sales of U.S. liquor stores. a. Is seasonality present...
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Problem 3-21 (Algo)
Two different forecasting techniques (F1 and F2) were
used to forecast demand for cases of bottled water. Actual
demand and the two sets of forecasts are as follows:
Period Demand
12345678
75
PREDICTED DEMAND
F2
64
62
70
68 万 70 74 69 2 80 78
3437
72
F1
62
66
71
67
67
77
31228060
73
76
79
79
Transcribed Image Text:es Problem 3-21 (Algo) Two different forecasting techniques (F1 and F2) were used to forecast demand for cases of bottled water. Actual demand and the two sets of forecasts are as follows: Period Demand 12345678 75 PREDICTED DEMAND F2 64 62 70 68 万 70 74 69 2 80 78 3437 72 F1 62 66 71 67 67 77 31228060 73 76 79 79
results, which forecast appears to be more accurate?
(Round your answers to 2 decimal places.)
F1
MSE F1
MSE F2
appears to be more accurate.
Check my work
c. In practice, either MAD or MSE would be employed to
compute forecast errors. What factors might lead a
manager to choose one rather than the other?
Either one might already be in use, familiar to users, and have past values for comparison. If con
MAPE F1
MAPE F2
d. Compute MAPE for each data set. Which forecast
appears to be more accurate? (Round your intermediate
calculations to 2 decimal places and and final answers to
2 decimal places.)
%
%
Transcribed Image Text:results, which forecast appears to be more accurate? (Round your answers to 2 decimal places.) F1 MSE F1 MSE F2 appears to be more accurate. Check my work c. In practice, either MAD or MSE would be employed to compute forecast errors. What factors might lead a manager to choose one rather than the other? Either one might already be in use, familiar to users, and have past values for comparison. If con MAPE F1 MAPE F2 d. Compute MAPE for each data set. Which forecast appears to be more accurate? (Round your intermediate calculations to 2 decimal places and and final answers to 2 decimal places.) % %
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