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Topic:
Brad and Allison have three girls. Brad tells Allison that he would like one more child because they are due to have a boy. What do you think of Brad's logic?
Choose the correct answer below.
A. Brad is correct due to the Law of Averages. The likelihood of having four girls in a row is about 0.06.
B. Brad is incorrect due to the nonexistent Law of Averages. The fact that Brad and Allison had three girls in a row does not matter. The likelihood the next child will be a boy is about 0.5.
C. Brad is incorrect due to the nonexistent Law of Large Numbers. The fact that Brad and Allison had three girls in a row does not matter. The likelihood the next child will be a boy is about 0.5.
D. Brad is correct due to the Law of Large Numbers. As the number of children in their family increases, the likelihood of having at least one boy in the family increases.
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