Tom Tolkien, the CEO, is not happy with the quality of information being presented by his business manager. He asks the best economic consultancy firm in the country to provide an accurate macroeconomic forecast, which they guarantee would be 100% accurate. What is the most that Tolkien Transport should be willing to pay the research firm for this information (in other words what is the value of perfect information concerning the state of the economy)?

ENGR.ECONOMIC ANALYSIS
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ISBN:9780190931919
Author:NEWNAN
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Chapter1: Making Economics Decisions
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  1. Tom Tolkien, the CEO, is not happy with the quality of information being presented by his business manager. He asks the best economic consultancy firm in the country to provide an accurate macroeconomic forecast, which they guarantee would be 100% accurate. What is the most that Tolkien Transport should be willing to pay the research firm for this information (in other words what is the value of perfect information concerning the state of the economy)?
The business manager of Tolkien Transport wishes to analyse three strategic options
available to the company (Cost-cutting; Diversification; Expansion) under four possible
UK macroeconomic conditions: Recession, Low Growth, Medium Growth and High
Growth. He has summarised available information in the following pay-off matrix (with
impact on company profits in the next year in £000s).
Macroeconomic Conditions
Medium Growth
Recession Low Growth
High Growth
Cost-Cutting
Diversification
Expansion
100
130
170
200
-120
50
240
300
-250
30
300
500
Transcribed Image Text:The business manager of Tolkien Transport wishes to analyse three strategic options available to the company (Cost-cutting; Diversification; Expansion) under four possible UK macroeconomic conditions: Recession, Low Growth, Medium Growth and High Growth. He has summarised available information in the following pay-off matrix (with impact on company profits in the next year in £000s). Macroeconomic Conditions Medium Growth Recession Low Growth High Growth Cost-Cutting Diversification Expansion 100 130 170 200 -120 50 240 300 -250 30 300 500
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