The number of connections to a wrong phone number is often modeled by a Poisson distribution. To estimate the unknown parameter of that distribution (the mean number of wrong connections) one observes a sample x₁,..., n of wrong connections on n different days. Assum- ing that σ = ₁ + ... + x₂ > 0, (i) give the likelihood function of the sample; (ii) find the m.l.e. and MLE of A. =t. (i) If ƒ (x|λ) = e¯^, then show that the likelihood function is

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The image contains a mathematical explanation related to estimating the unknown parameter \(\lambda\) of a Poisson distribution, often used to model the number of wrong phone connections.

**Content Details:**

1. **Introduction**
   - The text discusses modeling the number of wrong phone connections using a Poisson distribution.
   - The goal is to estimate the unknown parameter \(\lambda\), representing the mean number of wrong connections.

2. **Tasks**
   - (i) Provide the likelihood function of a sample.
   - (ii) Find the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) of \(\lambda\).

3. **Hint for Step (i)**
   - If \(f(x|\lambda) = e^{-\lambda}\lambda^x/x!\), then use this to derive the likelihood function.
   - The likelihood function is given as:
     \[
     f_n(\mathbf{x}_n|\lambda) = e^{-n\lambda}\lambda^\sigma/\prod_{j=1}^{n}x_j! \quad (\sigma = x_1 + \ldots + x_n)
     \]

4. **Step (ii)**
   - Define the log-likelihood function:
     \[
     L(\lambda) = \ln f_n(\mathbf{x}_n|\lambda)
     \]
   - Find its derivative \(L'(\lambda)\) and show that:
     \[
     L'(\lambda) = 0 \quad \text{iff} \quad \lambda = \sigma/n = \overline{x}_n
     \]

5. **Critical Points and Behavior**
   - \( \sigma/n \) is a critical point of \( L(\lambda) \).
   - Rewrite \( L'(\lambda) \) as:
     \[
     L'(\lambda) = \frac{1}{\lambda_n}(\overline{x}_n - \lambda) 
     \]
   - Analysis of \( L' \):
     - Positive for \( \lambda < \overline{x}_n \)
     - Zero at \( \lambda = \overline{x}_n \)
     - Negative for \( \lambda > \overline{x}_n \)

6. **Conclusion**
   - It’s proven that \(\overline{x}_n\) is a local and global maximum point.
   - Therefore, \(\hat{\lambda} = \overline{x}_n\) is
Transcribed Image Text:The image contains a mathematical explanation related to estimating the unknown parameter \(\lambda\) of a Poisson distribution, often used to model the number of wrong phone connections. **Content Details:** 1. **Introduction** - The text discusses modeling the number of wrong phone connections using a Poisson distribution. - The goal is to estimate the unknown parameter \(\lambda\), representing the mean number of wrong connections. 2. **Tasks** - (i) Provide the likelihood function of a sample. - (ii) Find the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) of \(\lambda\). 3. **Hint for Step (i)** - If \(f(x|\lambda) = e^{-\lambda}\lambda^x/x!\), then use this to derive the likelihood function. - The likelihood function is given as: \[ f_n(\mathbf{x}_n|\lambda) = e^{-n\lambda}\lambda^\sigma/\prod_{j=1}^{n}x_j! \quad (\sigma = x_1 + \ldots + x_n) \] 4. **Step (ii)** - Define the log-likelihood function: \[ L(\lambda) = \ln f_n(\mathbf{x}_n|\lambda) \] - Find its derivative \(L'(\lambda)\) and show that: \[ L'(\lambda) = 0 \quad \text{iff} \quad \lambda = \sigma/n = \overline{x}_n \] 5. **Critical Points and Behavior** - \( \sigma/n \) is a critical point of \( L(\lambda) \). - Rewrite \( L'(\lambda) \) as: \[ L'(\lambda) = \frac{1}{\lambda_n}(\overline{x}_n - \lambda) \] - Analysis of \( L' \): - Positive for \( \lambda < \overline{x}_n \) - Zero at \( \lambda = \overline{x}_n \) - Negative for \( \lambda > \overline{x}_n \) 6. **Conclusion** - It’s proven that \(\overline{x}_n\) is a local and global maximum point. - Therefore, \(\hat{\lambda} = \overline{x}_n\) is
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