The manager for a growing firm is considering the launch of a new product. If the product goes directly to market, there is a 50 percent chance of success. For $500000, the manager can conduct a focus group that will increase the product’s chance of success to 65 percent. Alternatively, the manager has the option to pay a consulting firm $750,000 to research the market and refine the product. The consulting firm successfully launches new products 85 percent of the time. If the firm successfully launches the product; the payoff will be $2,500,000. If the product is a failure, the NPV is $ 200,000 Which action will result in the highest expected payoff to the firm?   Answer on excel with formulas

Essentials Of Investments
11th Edition
ISBN:9781260013924
Author:Bodie, Zvi, Kane, Alex, MARCUS, Alan J.
Publisher:Bodie, Zvi, Kane, Alex, MARCUS, Alan J.
Chapter1: Investments: Background And Issues
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The manager for a growing firm is considering the launch of a new product. If

the product goes directly to market, there is a 50 percent chance of success. For $500000, the

manager can conduct a focus group that will increase the product’s chance of success to 65 percent.

Alternatively, the manager has the option to pay a consulting firm $750,000 to research the market and

refine the product. The consulting firm successfully launches new products 85 percent of the time. If

the firm successfully launches the product; the payoff will be $2,500,000. If the product is a failure, the

NPV is $ 200,000 Which action will result in the highest expected payoff to the firm?

 

Answer on excel with formulas

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