A First Course in Probability (10th Edition)
A First Course in Probability (10th Edition)
10th Edition
ISBN: 9780134753119
Author: Sheldon Ross
Publisher: PEARSON
Bartleby Related Questions Icon

Related questions

Question

The Gorman Manufacturing Company must decide whether to manufacture a component part at its plant or purchase the component part from a supplier. The resulting profit is dependent upon the demand for the product. The following payoff table shows the projected profit (in ten thousand of pesos):

  state of nature state of nature state of nature
Decision Alternative

Low Demand

S1

Medium DEmand

S2

High demand

S3

Manufacture, d1 -100 200 500
Purchase, d2 50 225 350

The state-of-nature probabilities are P(s1 ) = 0.35, P(s2 ) = 0.35, and P(s3) = 0.30.

 

A test market study of the potential demand for the product is expected to report either a favorable (F) or unfavorable (U) condition. The relevant conditional probabilities are as follows:

P (F| S1) = 0.10            P (U|S1)=0.90

P (F| S2) = 0.40            P (U|S2)=0.60

P (F| S3) = 0.60            P (U|S3)=0.40

A. What is XY Manufacturing Company optimal decision strategy? 
B. What is the expected value of the market research information? 
C. What is the efficiency of the information?

Expert Solution
Check Mark
Knowledge Booster
Background pattern image
Similar questions
Recommended textbooks for you
Text book image
A First Course in Probability (10th Edition)
Probability
ISBN:9780134753119
Author:Sheldon Ross
Publisher:PEARSON
Text book image
A First Course in Probability
Probability
ISBN:9780321794772
Author:Sheldon Ross
Publisher:PEARSON