The Age of Disposability. Suppose that the life of a certain device is approximately normally distributed with mean 48 months and standard deviation 16 months. You must use the product for 2 years. If it fails in that period, your cost will be $1000. If it does not fail, your cost will be $500.  Type calculations/explanations in answering all these questions:   a) What proportion of these devices are expected to fail during the 2-year use period?    b) What is your expected cost of using this device for the 2 years?    c) Approximately, what would be a fair price for a warranty against failure in the 2-year period?

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The Age of Disposability. Suppose that the life of a certain device is approximately normally distributed with mean 48 months and standard deviation 16 months. You must use the product for 2 years. If it fails in that period, your cost will be $1000. If it does not fail, your cost will be $500.  Type calculations/explanations in answering all these questions:

 

  1. a) What proportion of these devices are expected to fail during the 2-year use period? 

 

  1. b) What is your expected cost of using this device for the 2 years? 

 

  1. c) Approximately, what would be a fair price for a warranty against failure in the 2-year period? 
Expert Solution
Step 1

Let X be the random variable denoting the life of the device (in months). Then the given information is:

X~Normalμ=48,σ2=162

 

The two costs associated with the device are:

1. If the product fails before 2 years (that is X<24), the cost is $1000

2. If the product does not fail before 2 years (X>24), the cost is $500

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