Taita thrush is an endangered bird endemic to Kenya. Galbusera and colleagues genotyped Taita thrush individuals from three populations at microsatellite markers. You have a museum specimen, and you want to determine which population it most likely to came from. You determine that the museum specimen is homozygous for two microsatellite alleles (A₁ and B₁). The frequencies of each allele in each population are shown in the table below. Population Chawia Mbololo Allele A₁ 0.6471 0.7063 0.6204 Allele B₁ 0.2917 0.1863 0.4000 Ngangao What is the probability that your individual comes from each of the three populations?

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solve using bayes' rule

Taita thrush is an endangered bird endemic to Kenya. Galbusera and colleagues genotyped
Taita thrush individuals from three populations at microsatellite markers. You have a
museum specimen, and you want to determine which population it most likely to came
from. You determine that the museum specimen is homozygous for two microsatellite
alleles (A₁ and B₁). The frequencies of each allele in each population are shown in the table
below.
Population
Chawia
Mbololo
Allele A₁
0.6471
0.7063
0.6204
Allele B₁
0.2917
0.1863
0.4000
Ngangao
What is the probability that your individual comes from each of the three populations?
Transcribed Image Text:Taita thrush is an endangered bird endemic to Kenya. Galbusera and colleagues genotyped Taita thrush individuals from three populations at microsatellite markers. You have a museum specimen, and you want to determine which population it most likely to came from. You determine that the museum specimen is homozygous for two microsatellite alleles (A₁ and B₁). The frequencies of each allele in each population are shown in the table below. Population Chawia Mbololo Allele A₁ 0.6471 0.7063 0.6204 Allele B₁ 0.2917 0.1863 0.4000 Ngangao What is the probability that your individual comes from each of the three populations?
Expert Solution
Step 1: The probability of being homozygous for allele B ( BB) is the square of the frequency of allele B.

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