Enginering management Supposed that a decision-maker faced with four decision alternatives and four states of naturedevelops the following profit payoff table.1. If the decision-maker knows nothing about the probabilities of the four states of nature,what is the recommended decision using the MAXIMAX criterion?2. What decision alternative will he choose if using the MAXIMIN criterion?3. What about MINIMAX REGRET CRITERION?4. What decision would he make if using the criterion of realism at alpha 0.6 is used?*DECISIONSTATE OF NATUREALTERNATIVES1S2S3S4D110145D2810117D3101011D41110814

Decision making is a process which helps to choose the optimal decision based on different…

Answered: Supposed that a decision-maker faced…

Practical Management Science

6th Edition

ISBN:9781337406659

Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.

Publisher:WINSTON, Wayne L.

Chapter9: Decision Making Under Uncertainty

Section: Chapter Questions

Problem 76P

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Supposed that a decision-maker faced with four decision alternatives and four states of nature develops the following profit payoff table.1. If the decision-maker knows nothing about the probabilities of the four states of nature, what is the recommended decision using the MAXIMAX criterion?2. What decision alternative will he choose if using the MAXIMIN criterion?3. What about MINIMAX REGRET CRITERION?4. What decision would he make if using the criterion of realism at alpha 0.6 is used?
Choose the letter of the correct answer on each questions being asked for each case 1. If the decision maker knows nothing about the probabilities of the four states of nature, what is the recommended decision using MAXIMAX CRITERION? D1 D2 D3 D4 2. What decision alternative will he choose if using MAXIMIN CRITERION? D1 D2 D3 D4 3. What about MINIMAX REGRET CRITERION? D1 D2 D3 D4 4. What decision would he make if using criterion of realism at alpha 0.6 is used? D1 D2 D3 D4
Solve the following problems using the Decision Analysis. Construct first the decision tree, and then use Bayes' Formula to determine the optimal decision. Decision Problems 1. The Quano Company is considering the purchase of mineral rights on a piece of property for P1 million. The price includes a seismic test whether the land is of type X or Y geological formation. The test cannot be done until after the purchase is made. According to reliable information 60% of the land is of type X formation and 40% of the area is of type Y. If the company decides to drill on the land, it will cost P2.5 million. It may hit oil, gas, or a dry well. Drilling experience indicates that the probability of hitting oil is 25% on X formation and 10% on Y formation. The probability of hitting gas is 30% on X formation and 45% on Y formation. The estimated return for an oil well is P5 million and from a gas well, P3 million. Should the company purchase mineral rights?
d. What is the best decision alternative using MINIMAX REGRET decision criterion? e. What is the best decision alternative using criterion of realism at alpha = 0.8?
Assume that alternatives A, B,C, D are considered. Alternative C is better than each of the other 3 alternatives in all the 10 attributes considered, except one, but this one C is by far the worst. Which of the decision making models below would be the mostly likely to result in aliminating alternative C? a) addictive weighting b) dominance c) satisficing d) disjunctive resolution
Come up with a decision using MINIMAX REGRET CRITERION under conditions of uncertainty using the table below. The payoff values are expressed as LOSSES.Which decision alternative has the minimum payoff value of the maximum regret? Choices: -> A,B,C-> C,D,E-> E,F,G-> B,F,G-> C,G,F
What is the best decision alternative under Maximax criterion? (Provide complete decision table solution) DIHL Co. is a Danao-based logistics company owned by Engr. Donald H. Lalican. Anticipating the growing demand for delivery services, he developed a strategic plan for the year 2022. The options are to hire additional delivery crews in their Mandaue facility, construct a new facility in Talisay City, or subcontract Ohlala Move, a small- time company. A study conducted by the marketing department forecasted the following payoff values, which are summarized in the table below. The values are expressed as gains and alpha = 0.6. States of Nature Decision Alternatives Failure Low Moderate High Hire additional Drivers in Mandaue -450,000 -250,000 250,000 500,000 Construct a facility in Talisay -800,000 -400,000 300,000 700,000 Subcontracting Ohlala Move -100,000 -10,000 150,000 300,000 Hire Additional Drivers in Mandaue Construct a Facility in Talisay O Subcontracting Ohlala Move Both…
Explain all, please Match the following decision making definition to one of the following concepts: (Consensus Decision, Pro/Con Listing, Plurality Decision, Preference Trees, Flipism, Majority Decision, Range Voting, Prioritization or Satisficing) 1. Outlining the costs and benefits of a decision 2. Only considering options until the first acceptable one is presented 3. Listing goals in rank order 4. Progressively paring-back a complicated decision by dealing with one problem at a time 5. Making a decision by using some random method
Answer A.2 a-e a-c is in the picture here is d and e d) What is the qually likely decision? e) Develop a decision tree. Assume each outcome is equally likely, then find the highest EMV.
Below pay-off was generated for your investment options. From this pay-off table determine the best decision using decision making under uncertainty: a.Maximax b.Maximin c.Minimax
Devise a solution for the problem under each of the four criteria of decisions under uncertainty.
Construct a decision tree and answer the following questions: What is the EMV of each decision alternative? Which action should be selected? What is the expected value with perfect information? What is the expected value of perfect information?

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