A First Course in Probability (10th Edition)
A First Course in Probability (10th Edition)
10th Edition
ISBN: 9780134753119
Author: Sheldon Ross
Publisher: PEARSON
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Suppose we have two weighted coins, one of which comes up heads with probability 0.2, and the other of which comes up heads with
probability 0.9. Unfortunately, the coins are otherwise identical, and we have lost track of which is which. Suppose we flip a randomly chosen coin
13 times and let N be the random variable giving the number of heads seen. If in the first 4 flips we see 3 heads, what is the conditional expected
number of heads in the 13 flips?
E[N|3 of first 4 are H] = 10.805
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Transcribed Image Text:Suppose we have two weighted coins, one of which comes up heads with probability 0.2, and the other of which comes up heads with probability 0.9. Unfortunately, the coins are otherwise identical, and we have lost track of which is which. Suppose we flip a randomly chosen coin 13 times and let N be the random variable giving the number of heads seen. If in the first 4 flips we see 3 heads, what is the conditional expected number of heads in the 13 flips? E[N|3 of first 4 are H] = 10.805
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