Suppose we are interested in bidding on a piece of land and we know one other bidder is interested. The seller announced that the highest bid in excess of $25,000 will be accepted. Assume that the competitor's bid x is a random variable that is uniformly distributed between $25,000 and $30,000. (a) Suppose you bid $27,000. What is the probability that your bid will be accepted? (b) Suppose you bid $28,000. What is the probability that your bid will be accepted? (c) What amount should you bid in dollars to maximize the probability that you get the property?

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**Question 11: Bidding Strategy for Purchasing Land**

Suppose we are interested in bidding on a piece of land and we know one other bidder is interested. The seller announced that the highest bid in excess of **$25,000** will be accepted. Assume that the competitor's bid \( x \) is a random variable that is uniformly distributed between **$25,000** and **$30,000**.

**(a)** Suppose you bid **$27,000**. What is the probability that your bid will be accepted?
\[ \text{Probability:} \]

**(b)** Suppose you bid **$28,000**. What is the probability that your bid will be accepted?
\[ \text{Probability:} \]

**(c)** What amount should you bid in dollars to maximize the probability that you get the property?
\[ \$ \]

**(d)** Suppose you know someone who is willing to pay you **$31,000** for the property.

- What is the expected profit in dollars if you bid the amount given in part (c)?
  \[ \$ \]

- Find a bid in dollars which produces a greater expected profit than bidding the amount given in part (c). (If an answer does not exist, enter DNE.)
  \[ \$ \]

Would you consider bidding less than the amount in part (c)? Why or why not?
- [ ] Yes. There is a bid which gives a greater expected profit than the bid given in part (c), and thus a higher expected profit is possible with a bid smaller than the amount in part (c).
- [ ] No. The bid which maximizes the expected profit is the amount given in part (c), thus it does not make sense to place a smaller bid.
Transcribed Image Text:**Question 11: Bidding Strategy for Purchasing Land** Suppose we are interested in bidding on a piece of land and we know one other bidder is interested. The seller announced that the highest bid in excess of **$25,000** will be accepted. Assume that the competitor's bid \( x \) is a random variable that is uniformly distributed between **$25,000** and **$30,000**. **(a)** Suppose you bid **$27,000**. What is the probability that your bid will be accepted? \[ \text{Probability:} \] **(b)** Suppose you bid **$28,000**. What is the probability that your bid will be accepted? \[ \text{Probability:} \] **(c)** What amount should you bid in dollars to maximize the probability that you get the property? \[ \$ \] **(d)** Suppose you know someone who is willing to pay you **$31,000** for the property. - What is the expected profit in dollars if you bid the amount given in part (c)? \[ \$ \] - Find a bid in dollars which produces a greater expected profit than bidding the amount given in part (c). (If an answer does not exist, enter DNE.) \[ \$ \] Would you consider bidding less than the amount in part (c)? Why or why not? - [ ] Yes. There is a bid which gives a greater expected profit than the bid given in part (c), and thus a higher expected profit is possible with a bid smaller than the amount in part (c). - [ ] No. The bid which maximizes the expected profit is the amount given in part (c), thus it does not make sense to place a smaller bid.
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