Suppose that 6% of a particular population have a particularly nasty disease. There is a test for the disease that correctly identifies those with the disease 98% of the time. However, the same test gives a false positive 1% of the time. Suppose that a random person from this population is given the test as part of a wellness exam. Give answers in decimal form rounded to 4 decimal places as needed. A. Suppose that a random person comes in for a wellness exam and tests positive for the disease. What is the probability that she actually has the disease? B. Suppose that a person comes in for a wellness exam and tests negative. What is the probability that this person does not have the disease? C. What proportion of the total population will test positive?

A First Course in Probability (10th Edition)
10th Edition
ISBN:9780134753119
Author:Sheldon Ross
Publisher:Sheldon Ross
Chapter1: Combinatorial Analysis
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Suppose that 6% of a particular population have a particularly nasty disease. There is a test for the disease that correctly
identifies those with the disease 98% of the time. However, the same test gives a false positive 1% of the time. Suppose that a
random person from this population is given the test as part of a wellness exam.
Give answers in decimal form rounded to 4 decimal places as needed.
A. Suppose that a random person comes in for a wellness exam and tests positive for the disease. What is the probability that she
actually has the disease?
B. Suppose that a person comes in for a wellness exam and tests negative. What is the probability that this person does not have
the disease?
C. What proportion of the total population will test positive?
D. What proportion of the total population will not have the disease and will test negative?
Transcribed Image Text:Suppose that 6% of a particular population have a particularly nasty disease. There is a test for the disease that correctly identifies those with the disease 98% of the time. However, the same test gives a false positive 1% of the time. Suppose that a random person from this population is given the test as part of a wellness exam. Give answers in decimal form rounded to 4 decimal places as needed. A. Suppose that a random person comes in for a wellness exam and tests positive for the disease. What is the probability that she actually has the disease? B. Suppose that a person comes in for a wellness exam and tests negative. What is the probability that this person does not have the disease? C. What proportion of the total population will test positive? D. What proportion of the total population will not have the disease and will test negative?
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