Suppose a person is thinking about entering a MarioKart competition at their
local videogame store. The competition costs 20 dollars to enter. The competition consists of 10 matches. The person knows that their chance of winning each match is 65% and that each match is independent of the others.
The payout for the competition is:
WIN ALL 10 Matches: 500 Dollar Prize
WIN 9 Matches: 250 Dollar Prize
WIN 8 Matches: 50 Dollar Prize
OTHERWISE: Nothing
1) Suppose that this person enters the competition 5 times.
What is the probability they break even?
(Hint: To break even they would need to win the $50 prize twice and lose the other three times. Use a modified binomial to calculate this probability.)
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