Required a) Using expected values as the basis of your decision, advise the theatre b) Prepare a two-way data table to show the profit values that could occur fronm c) Explain, using the probabilities provided and your answer to (b) above, how the management whether it is financially worthwhile to engage MS for the concert. deciding to engage MS for the concert. two-way data table can be used by the theatre management to evaluate the financial risks of the concert, including the probability of making a profit. d) Calculate the maximum price that the theatre management should agree to pay for perfect information relating to the size of the audience and the level of contribution from confectionery sales.

ENGR.ECONOMIC ANALYSIS
14th Edition
ISBN:9780190931919
Author:NEWNAN
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Chapter1: Making Economics Decisions
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1 of 2 Workshop Decision Making Under Conditions of Risk and Uncertainty Question 1 A theatre has a seating capacity of 500 people and is considering engaging MS and her orchestra for a concert for one night only. The fee that would be charged by MS would be $10,000. If the theatre engages MS, then this sum is payable regardless of the size of the theatre audience. Based on past experience of events of this type, the price of the theatre ticket would be $25 per person. The size of the audience for this event is uncertain, but based on past experience it is expected to be as follows 300 people 400 people 500 people Probabilit)y 50% 30% 20% In addition to the sale of the teatre tickets, it can be expected that members of the audience will also purchase confectionery both prior to the performance and during the interval. The contribution that this would yield to the theatre is unclear, but has been estimated as follows: Contribution from confectionery sales Contribution of $3 per person Contribution of $5 per person Contribution of $10 per person Probability 30% 50% 20% Required a) Using expected values as the basis of your decision, advise the theatre b) Prepare a two-way data table to show the profit values that could occur fronm c) Explain, using the probabilities provided and your answer to (b) above, how the management whether it is financially worthwhile to engage MS for the concert. deciding to engage MS for the concert. two-way data table can be used by the theatre management to evaluate the financial risks of the concert, including the probability of making a profit. d) Calculate the maximum price that the theatre management should agree to pay for perfect information relating to the size of the audience and the level of contribution from confectionery sales.

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