QUESTION TWO GM Motors of Lusaka produces electronic motors for power actuated values for block makers in Lusaka. The GM Motors has been in operational for a year now and Mr. Banda, the plant manager, thinks that the growth in sales will continue for the years to come. Mr. Banda wants to develop a long range forecast to be used to plan facility requirements for the next three years. The sales records for the past ten years have been accumulated; Years       Annual Sale (K’000) 2007            1000 2008            1300 2009            1800 2010            2000 2011            2000 2012            2000 2013            2200 2014            2600 2015            2900 2016            3200    Required: a) Develop a regression equation for predicting the sales for the electronic motors. b) Use the regression equation to predict the sales for the next three year. c) Find the relationship between the sales and the years. Explain what your finding means.

Practical Management Science
6th Edition
ISBN:9781337406659
Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Publisher:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Chapter7: Nonlinear Optimization Models
Section: Chapter Questions
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QUESTION TWO
GM Motors of Lusaka produces electronic motors for power actuated values for block makers in Lusaka. The GM Motors has been in operational for a year now and Mr. Banda, the plant manager, thinks that the growth in sales will continue for the years to come. Mr. Banda wants to develop a long range forecast to be used to plan facility requirements for the next three years.

The sales records for the past ten years have been accumulated;

Years       Annual Sale (K’000)
2007            1000
2008            1300
2009            1800
2010            2000
2011            2000
2012            2000
2013            2200
2014            2600
2015            2900
2016            3200
   Required:
a) Develop a regression equation for predicting the sales for the electronic motors.


b) Use the regression equation to predict the sales for the next three year.


c) Find the relationship between the sales and the years. Explain what your finding means. 

2. A firm uses simple exponential smoothing with a=0.1 to forecast demand. The forecast for the week of January 1 was 500 units whereas the actual demand turned out to be 450 units. Calculate the demand forecast for the week of January.

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ISBN:
9781337406659
Author:
WINSTON, Wayne L.
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Cengage,