A First Course in Probability (10th Edition)
10th Edition
ISBN: 9780134753119
Author: Sheldon Ross
Publisher: PEARSON
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- Suppose the length of a particular type of snake is normally distributed with a mean of 50 inches and a standard deviation of 2.2 inches. You took a sample of 25 such snakes and the mean length for these snakes is 53 inches. a. Test the hypothesis that this sample came from a population with an average length of 50 inches. What is your conclusion if α = .05. Show your calculations including Excel functions used to do the calculations. b. Your friend believes that you took the sample from a population of snakes whose length is below 50 inches. Is your friend correct? What is your conclusion? Use α = .05 (5+5)arrow_forwardSuppose that replacement times for washing machines are normally distributed with a mean of μ=8.7 years and a standard deviation of σ=1.6 years. Find P25 the replacement time that separates the bottom 25% from the top 75%arrow_forward13. A standard logistic regression models the effect of age (20-29, 30-39, 40-49, 50-59, 60- 69) on experience of back pain (modeling yes vs. no). If age is included as a continuous covariate (with values 1, 2, 3, etc., as scores) and the regression parameter associated with age is estimated to be 0.21 with standard error of 0.08, what are the odds of backpain for a 35-year-old (e.g., in the 30-39 range) relative to the odds for a 25-year-old? Enter your answer to two numbers after the decimal place.arrow_forward
- 3.7. Consider the performance function Y = 3x1-2x2 where Xi and X2 are both normally distributed random variables with Ax' = 16.6 0% 2.45 μΧ2 = 18.8 ơx.-2.83 The two variables are correlated, and the covariance is equal to 2.0. Determine the probability of failure if failure is defined as the state when Y 0 3.8. The resistance (or capacity) R of a member is to be modeled using R = R,MPF where Rn is the nominal value of the capacity determined using code procedures and M, P, and Fare random variables that account for various uncertainties in the capacity. If M, P, and F are all lognormal random variables, determine the mean and variance of R in terms of the means and variances of M, P, and F.arrow_forwardN= 150 observations were collected on a time series that was identified as a AR(2) time series. The following statistics were computed from the data. Mean - 45.0 Variance 15.6 Autocorrelation function (up to lag 5) r1 = 0.80, r2 = .50, rз = .26, r4 = -.10, rs = 0.08: == Estimate the parameters of the model using the method of moments.arrow_forwardAn experiment is conducted to compare the maximum load capacity in tons (the maximum weight that can be tolerated without breaking) for two alloys A and B It is Kknown that the two standard deviations in load capacity are equal at 7 tons each. The experiment is conducted on 50 specimens of each alloy (A and B) and the results are X = 75.8. X = 71.8, and X-X=4. The manufacturers of alloy A are convinced that this evidence shows conclusively that Hug and strongly supports the claim that their alloy is superior. Manufacturers of alloy 8 claim that the experiment could easily have given X-X 4 even if the two population means are equal. Complete parts (a) and (b) below. Click here to view page 1 of the standard normal distribution table. Click here to view page 2 of the standard normal distribution table. (a) Make an argument that manufacturers of alloy B are wrong. Do it by computing P(XA-XB41 PA-HB) P(XA-X > 4) - @arrow_forward
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- 11. In this same article on sleep duration and start time, researchers also considered whether school start time was related to obtaining an adequate amount of sleep. An adequate amountbof sleep was considered at least 8.5 hours of sleep, as recommended by the National Sleep Foundation. The authors used logistic regression models to associate the probability of adequate sleep to school start time. Here are some adapted logistic regression results from this study: In(odds of adequate sleep) = 6, + B,, where x1 = school start time, measured as the number of minutes after 7 AM that the school starts. For this model, B,-0.014, SE(B,)-0.005. - What Is the estimated odds ratlo of adequate sleep, and 95% CI, for students who start at 8:30 AM compared to those who start at 7:30 AM? a. 1.01 (1.00, 1.02) b. 1.52 (1.13, 2.05) C. 2.32 (1.27, 4.22) d. 4.05 (1.49, 11.02)arrow_forwardI have problem in the question number #2, but the answer is with the result of question number #1arrow_forwardLet S1^2 be the sampling variance for a random sample of twelve values (amount of mercury in the blood) and let S2^2 be the sampling variance for a random sample of ten values (amount of lead in the blood); samples from the same population were used. The population variance for mercury measurements is assumed to be twice the corresponding population variance for lead measurements. We will further assume that S1^2 is independent of S2^2. 1. Find a number b such that P [(S1^2/S2^2)<=b]=0.95 enter such a b to three decimal places b= 2. Consider the number b calculated above, find a number a such that P[a<=(S1^2/S2^2)<=b]=0.90 enter said a to three decimal places. a=arrow_forward
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