
ENGR.ECONOMIC ANALYSIS
14th Edition
ISBN: 9780190931919
Author: NEWNAN
Publisher: Oxford University Press
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Public policy decisions must account for four kinds of uncertainty. Briefly describe at least three of the types of uncertainty, using examples?
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- Exercise 3.14: Challenging Question. In an attempt to reduce the deficit, the government of Italy has decided to sell a 14th century palace near Rome. The palace is in disrepair and is not generating any revenue for the government. From now on we'll call the government Player G. A Chinese millionaire has offered to purchase the palace for $p. Alternatively, Player G can organize an auction among n interested parties (n ≥ 2). The participants to the auction (we'll call them players) have been randomly assigned labels 1,2,...,n. Player is willing to pay up to $p, for the palace, where p, is a positive integer. For the auction assume the following: (1) it is a simultaneous, sealed-bid second-price auction, (2) bids must be non-negative integers, (3) each player only cares about his own wealth, (4) the tie-breaking rule for the auction is that the palace is given to that player who has the lowest index (e.g. if the highest bid was submitted by Players 3, 5 and 12 then the palace is given…arrow_forwardSuppose analysts agree that the losses resulting from climate change will reach x dollars 100 years from now. Use the concept of present value to explain why estimates of what needs to be spent today to combat those losses may vary widely. Would you expect the variation to narrow or get wider if the relevant losses were 200, rather than 100, years into the future? Complete the following using a principle amount = $100. Instructions: Enter your responses rounded to two decimal places. Discount rate / years 2% 5% 20 yrs O the higher rate O the lower rate 50 yrs 100 yrs Is there greater volatility with a lower discount rate or higher discount rate?arrow_forwardPlease answer both parts I do not understand, thank you :) Part A. Suppose that the rats on the campus of Hypothetical U are found to be carriers of a plague. Eradicating the rats has an estimated cost of $1,000,000 and is expected to reduce the probability a given student dies of the plague from 1/2,000 to zero. Suppose that there are 30,000 students on campus. Suppose further that the administration refuses to eradicate the rats due to the cost. From this information, we can estimate that the administration’s willingness to pay to save a student statistical life is less than $1,000,000 $33,333.3 $100,000 $66,666.7 Part B: Suppose a company offers a standard insurance contract with a premium (r) of $1,000 and a payout (q) of $8,000. Suppose that Rock earns a healthy state income of $50,000, a sick state income of $20,000, and has a 10% chance of becoming ill. From this information, you can determine that the expected profit for the insurance company is…arrow_forward
- You want to travel to Las Vegas to celebrate spring break and your "A" in your microeconomics class! You are trying to figure out if you should drive or fly. A round trip airline ticket from Riverside to Las Vegas costs $350 and flying there and back takes about 5 hours. Driving roundtrip to Las Vegas costs about $50 in gas and takes about 10 hours. Other things constant, what is the minimum amount of money that you would have to expect to make by gambling in Las Vegas to induce you as a rational individual to fly rather than drive? O $10 an hour $60 an hour O $70 an hour O $300 an hourarrow_forwardThe blue curve on the following graph shows the tradeoff between security and tourism; that is, combinations of security and tourism above the blue curve are not possible, and those on or below the curve are possible. The vertical axis measures security, defined as the probability that a terrorist is intercepted before entering the country. The horizontal axis measures the number of yearly visitors to the United States, in millions. Suppose that before 9/11, there were 55 million visitors per year, and the probability of intercepting any particular terrorist at customs and immigration was 10%, as indicated by the purple point (diamond symbol). After the 9/11 attacks, a debate is held in Congress. Members of both parties agree that security measures need to be improved. However, there is some disagreement as to how much additional security is needed. Suppose the first bill that is introduced mandates that security be improved so that the probability of catching a terrorist at the border…arrow_forwardUsing a basic illustration, explain your understanding of utility theory given uncertaintyarrow_forward
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