Problem:1 A) Crazy Dave, a well-known baseball analyst, wants to determine which variables are important in predicting a team’s wins in a given season. He has collected data related to wins, earned run average (ERA), and runs scored for the 2009 season (stored BB2009). Develop a model to predict the number of wins based on ERA and runs scored. State the multiple regression equation. Interpret the meaning of the slopes in this equation. Predict the number of wins for a team that has an ERA of 4.50 and has scored 750 runs. Perform a residual analysis on the results and determine Is there a significant relationship between number of wins and the two independent variables (ERA and runs scored) at the 0.05 level of significance? Determine the p-value in (e) and interpret its meaning. Interpret the meaning of the coefficient of multiple determination in this problem. At the 0.05 level of significance, determine whether each independent variable makes a significant contribution to the regression model. Indicate the most appropriate regression model for this set of data. Determine the p-values in (i) and interpret their meaning. Construct a 95% confidence interval estimate of the population slope between wins and ERA. Compute and interpret the coefficients of determination. Which is more important in predicting wins—pitching, as measured by ERA, or offense, as measured by runs scored? Explain.

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Problem:1 A) Crazy Dave, a well-known baseball analyst, wants to determine which variables are important in predicting a team’s wins in a given season. He has collected data related to wins, earned run average (ERA), and runs scored for the 2009 season (stored BB2009). Develop a model to predict the number of wins based on ERA and runs scored.

  1. State the multiple regression equation.
  2. Interpret the meaning of the slopes in this equation.
  3. Predict the number of wins for a team that has an ERA of 4.50 and has scored 750 runs.
  4. Perform a residual analysis on the results and determine
  5. Is there a significant relationship between number of wins and the two independent variables (ERA and runs scored) at the 0.05 level of significance?
  6. Determine the p-value in (e) and interpret its meaning.
  7. Interpret the meaning of the coefficient of multiple determination in this problem.
  8. At the 0.05 level of significance, determine whether each independent variable makes a significant contribution to the regression model. Indicate the most appropriate regression model for this set of data.
  9. Determine the p-values in (i) and interpret their meaning.
  10. Construct a 95% confidence interval estimate of the
  11. population slope between wins and ERA.
  12. Compute and interpret the coefficients of determination.
  13. Which is more important in predicting wins—pitching, as measured by ERA, or offense, as measured by runs scored? Explain.



    Team League Wins   Runs Scored Hits Allowed Walks Allowed Saves  Errors E.R.A.
    Baltimore 0 64   741 1633 546 31 90 5.15
    Boston 0 95   872 1494 530 41 82 4.35
    Chicago White Sox 0 79   724 1438 507 36 113 4.14
    Cleveland 0 65   773 1570 598 25 97 5.06
    Detroit 0 86   743 1449 594 42 88 4.29
    Kansas City 0 65   686 1486 600 34 116 4.83
    Los Angeles Angels 0 97   883 1513 523 51 85 4.45
    Minnesota 0 86   817 1542 466 48 76 4.50
    New York Yankees 0 103   915 1386 574 51 86 4.26
    Oakland 0 75   759 1486 523 38 105 4.26
    Seattle 0 85   640 1359 534 49 105 3.87
    Tampa Bay 0 84   803 1421 515 41 98 4.33
    Texas 0 87   764 1432 531 45 106 4.38
    Toronto 0 75   798 1509 551 25 76 4.47
    Arizona 1 70   720 1470 525 36 124 4.42
    Atlanta 1 86   735 1399 530 38 96 3.57
    Chicago Cubs 1 83   707 1329 586 40 105 3.84
    Cincinnati 1 78   673 1420 577 41 89 4.18
    Colorado 1 92   804 1427 528 45 87 4.22
    Florida 1 87   772 1425 601 45 106 4.29
    Houston 1 74   643 1521 546 39 78 4.54
    Los Angeles Dodgers 1 95   780 1265 584 44 83 3.41
    Milwaukee 1 80   785 1498 607 44 98 4.83
    New York Mets 1 70   671 1452 616 39 97 4.45
    Philadelphia 1 93   820 1479 489 44 76 4.16
    Pittsburgh 1 62   636 1491 563 28 73 4.59
    St. Louis 1 91   730 1407 460 43 96 3.66
    San Diego 1 75   638 1422 603 45 94 4.37
    San Francisco 1 88   657 1268 584 41 88 3.55
    Washington 1 59   710 1533 629 33 143 5.00

Problem:1 B) Suppose that in addition to using ERA to predict the number of wins, Crazy Dave wants to include the league (0=American, 1=National) as an independent variable. Develop a model to predict wins based on ERA and league.

  1. State the multiple regression equation.
  2. Interpret the slopes in (a).
  3. Predict the number of wins for a team with an ERA of 4.50 in the American League. Construct a 95% confidence interval estimate for all teams and a 95% prediction interval for an individual team.
  4. Perform a residual analysis on the results
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