It is estimated that approximately 8.14% Americans are afflicted with diabetes. Suppose that a certain diagnostic evaluation for diabetes will correctly diagnose 97% of all adults over 40 with diabetes as having the disease and incorrectly diagnoses 3.5% of all adults over 40 without diabetes as having the disease. a) Find the probability that a randomly selected adult over 40 does not have diabetes, and is diagnosed as having diabetes (such diagnoses are called "false positives"). b) Find the probability that a randomly selected adult of 40 is diagnosed as not having diabetes. c) Find the probability that a randomly selected adult over 40 actually has diabetes, given that he/she is diagnosed as not having diabetes (such diagnoses are called "false negatives").

A First Course in Probability (10th Edition)
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ISBN:9780134753119
Author:Sheldon Ross
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Chapter1: Combinatorial Analysis
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It is estimated that approximately 8.14% Americans are afflicted with diabetes. Suppose
that a certain diagnostic evaluation for diabetes will correctly diagnose 97% of all adults
over 40 with diabetes as having the disease and incorrectly diagnoses 3.5% of all adults
over 40 without diabetes as having the disease.
a) Find the probability that a randomly selected adult over 40 does not have diabetes,
and is diagnosed as having diabetes (such diagnoses are called "false positives").
b) Find the probability that a randomly selected adult of 40 is diagnosed as not having
diabetes.
c) Find the probability that a randomly selected adult over 40 actually has diabetes,
given that he/she is diagnosed as not having diabetes (such diagnoses are called "false
negatives").
Transcribed Image Text:It is estimated that approximately 8.14% Americans are afflicted with diabetes. Suppose that a certain diagnostic evaluation for diabetes will correctly diagnose 97% of all adults over 40 with diabetes as having the disease and incorrectly diagnoses 3.5% of all adults over 40 without diabetes as having the disease. a) Find the probability that a randomly selected adult over 40 does not have diabetes, and is diagnosed as having diabetes (such diagnoses are called "false positives"). b) Find the probability that a randomly selected adult of 40 is diagnosed as not having diabetes. c) Find the probability that a randomly selected adult over 40 actually has diabetes, given that he/she is diagnosed as not having diabetes (such diagnoses are called "false negatives").
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