Imagine that you are a risk analyst at New Mutual, a company that is quoting Deadly Dealers Ltd on insurance premiums. Deadly Dealers Ltd has a warehouse worth R 100 million situated alongside a riverbank in KZN, which has recently been prone to flooding. These floods are the only catastrophe that Deadly is concerned about, and if a serious flood occurs, might cause a total loss. The probability of this occurring is 0.019. You are trying to determine what premium to charge.   Complete the table below, with reference to the scenario presented above.   States of Nature     Serious flood No flood Totals Outcomes       Probability       Contribution to EMV         Consider an instance where New Mutual is choosing between two decisions, one with an EMV of R 10 000, and another with an EMV of R 16 000. Which option should New Mutual choose, and why?   New Mutual should choose the option of an EMV of ___________________, because ________________________________________________.

Algebra: Structure And Method, Book 1
(REV)00th Edition
ISBN:9780395977224
Author:Richard G. Brown, Mary P. Dolciani, Robert H. Sorgenfrey, William L. Cole
Publisher:Richard G. Brown, Mary P. Dolciani, Robert H. Sorgenfrey, William L. Cole
Chapter2: Working With Real Numbers
Section2.3: Rules For Addition
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Imagine that you are a risk analyst at New Mutual, a company that is quoting Deadly Dealers Ltd on insurance premiums. Deadly Dealers Ltd has a warehouse worth R 100 million situated alongside a riverbank in KZN, which has recently been prone to flooding. These floods are the only catastrophe that Deadly is concerned about, and if a serious flood occurs, might cause a total loss. The probability of this occurring is 0.019. You are trying to determine what premium to charge.

 

  1. Complete the table below, with reference to the scenario presented above.

 

States of Nature

 

 

Serious flood

No flood

Totals

Outcomes

 

 

 

Probability

 

 

 

Contribution to EMV

 

 

 

 

  1. Consider an instance where New Mutual is choosing between two decisions, one with an EMV of R 10 000, and another with an EMV of R 16 000. Which option should New Mutual choose, and why?

 

New Mutual should choose the option of an EMV of ___________________, because ________________________________________________. 

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