If members of the population The expected cost of healthcare is $ to pay the expected cost of healthcare with certainty, rather than take on the 2% risk of having to pay the full cost of the treatment, they are risk averse.
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- Suppose your classmate Roby is faced with the following decision: they either receive $7,000 with certainty, or a 50-50 chance of receiving $3,500 or $10,500. Suppose Roby prefers the certain 57,000. True or False: Based on their preferences, Roby is not a risk averse person. O True O False Suppose there is a disease certain to impact exactly 5% of a population and that each member of the population is equally likely become infected, Treatment for individuals who are infected costs $32,000. Assume in this scenario that the necessary treatment for the disease is the only healthcare cost faced by this population. to pay the expected cost of healthcace with The expected cost of healthcare is If members of the population certainty, rather than take on the 5% risk of having to pay the full cost of the treatment, they are risk averseAnne has $138.40 and is thinking about buying a lottery ticket. The lottery pays $4.00 with probability 0.20 and $172.00 with probability 0.80. To buy the ticket, Anne would need to spend all her money. Suppose we observe Anne buying the ticket. What can we infer about Anne? Choose one: O A. We cannot infer that Anne is risk neutral. O B. We can infer that Anne is not risk averse. O C. We cannot infer anything. O D. We can infer that Anne is risk averse.A risk-neutral plaintiff in a lawsuit must decide whether to settle a claim or go to trial. The defendants offer $50,000 to settle now. If the plaintiff does not settle, the plaintiff believes that the probability of winning at trial is 50% if the plaintiff wins, the amount awarded to the plaintiff is X Will the plaintif settle if x is $62,500? What if X-$250,000? What is the critical value of X that would make the plaintiff indifferent between setting and going to trial? it the plaintiff were risk averse instead of risk neutral, would this critical value of X be higher or lower? If the amount to be awarded at trial with a win (X) were $62,500, then the plaintiff would settle If the amount to be awarded at trial with a win (X) were $250,000, then the plaintiff would not settle The critical value of X that would make the plaintiff indifferent between settling and going to trial is $ (Enter your response using rounded to wo decimal places)
- An individual has 40,000 in income per year. The person will get sick with probability 0.1. If he does get sick, the medical bills will total 30,000. The following tables shows the utility derived from certain amounts of income: Income Utility40,000 20037,000 19535,000 19030,000 17020,000 14010,000 100Considering the probability of illness, what is the expected utility of income without insurance? Show your work.A risk-eutral plaintiff in a lawsuit must decide whether to settle a claim or go to trial. The defendants offer $70,000 to settle now. If the plaintiff does not settle, the plaintiff believes that the probability of winning at trial is 40%. If the plaintiff wins, the amount awarded to the plaintiff is X. Will the plaintiff settle if X is $87,500? What if X= $280,000? What is the critical value of X that would make the plaintiff indifferent between settling and going to trial? If the plaintiff were risk averse instead of risk neutral, would this critical value of X be higher or lower? If the amount to be awarded at trial with a win (X) were $87,500, then the plaintiff would settle If the amount to be awarded at trial with a win (X) were $280,000, then the plaintiff would not settle The critical value of X that would make the plaintiff indifferent between settling and going to trial is $. (Enter your response using rounded to two decimal places.)In the RAND study, two plans had full coverage for spending within the hospital, but one had a $150 deductible for ambulatory care. Th e plan with the ambulatory care deductible had a lower probability of hospital admission (0.115) per year than did the plan with full coverage for everything (0.128), even though both plans covered hospital care fully. (See Table 5.4. Page 120 of the Textbook: Health Economics Charles) What does this tell you about the use of hospital and ambulatory. Table 5.4. Hospital use in HIS Plan Admissionsper Year Inpatient Cost(1984 Dollars) C = 0 0.128 409 C=0.5 0.092 450 C=0.95 0.099 315 $150 individual deductible 0.115 373
- An individual has 40,000 in income per year. The person will get sick with probability 0.1. If he does get sick, the medical bills will total 30,000. The following tables shows the utility derived from certain amounts of income: Income Utility 40,000 200 |37,000 195 35,000 190 30,000 170 |20,000 140 10.000 100 A. Is this person risk neutral, risk loving or risk averse? Why? B. Considering the probability of illness, what is the expected income without insurance? Show your work.1. Mel is thinking of going on a cruise. Mel values a cruise in nice weather at $2,000 and values a cruise in bad weather at $50. The probability of nice weather is 60 percent and the probability of bad weather is 40 percent. Trip insurance is sometimes available. If purchased, it allows travelers to delay the cruise until the weather is nice. Suppose that the price of the cruise is $1,200. If Mel is risk-neutral, then Mel should: not buy trip insurance. only buy trip insurance if it costs less than $780. only buy trip insurance if it costs less than $20. only buy trip insurance if it costs less than $50. 2. Several web sites, like Pricewatch.com, allow consumers to input the name of a product, and the site then returns a list of suppliers with their respective prices for the product. This: increases the benefit of search.. increases the free-rider problem. reduces the benefit of search. reduces the cost of search.An individual has 40,000 in income per year. The person will get sick with probability 0.1. If he does get sick, the medical bills will total 30,000. The following tables shows the utility derived from certain amounts of income: Income Utility 40,000 200 37,000 195 35,000 190 30,000 170 20,000 140 10,000 100 At the actuarially fair rate, will the person choose to buy insurance or face the risk of going uninsured? Explain why.
- Consider the St. Petersburg Paradox problem first discussed by Daniel Bernoulli in 1738. The game consists of tossing a coin. The player gets a payoff of 2^n where n is the number of times the coin is tossed to get the first head. So, if the sequence of tosses yields TTTH, you get a payoff of 2^4 this payoff occurs with probability (1/2^4). Compute the expected value of playing this game. Next, assume that utility U is a function of wealth X given by U = X.5 and that X = $1,000,000. In this part of the question, assume that the game ends if the first head has not occurred after 40 tosses of the coin. In that case, the payoff is 240 and the game is over. What is the expected payout of this game? Finally, what is the most you would pay to play the game if you require that your expected utility after playing the game must be equal to your utility before playing the game? Use the Goal Seek function (found in Data, What-If Analysis) in Excel.23. Captain Kidd has a map that has a 20% probability of leading him to a treasure worth 400,000 guineas. Independent of the fact of having a map, Capitan Kidd already has his own income equal to 90,000 guineas. Another pirate wants to buy the map from the Capitan Kidd (after selling the map Capitan Kidd has no chance to find a treasure). What is the minimum price for a map which the Captain Kidd will accept if Capitan Kidd has von Neuman- Morgenstern utility function is U(w) = w0.5, where w is his income level? a) 54,400 b) 32,500 c) 45,000 d) 90,000 e) There is no correct answer#2. Hannah gets 50 utils from visiting her family for Thanksgiving. But there is a 1% chance that she will get the coronavirus from them. If she gets the coronavirus, her utility is -6000 utils. Her total utility would be -5950 (i.e. 50 – 6000). She gets 0 utils from staying healthy (total utility = 50 + 0 = 50). What is her expected utility? a. 50 utils b. -6 utils c. -10 utils d. -5999.5 utils e. -6000 utils f. None of these #3. Hannah gets 50 utils from visiting her family for Thanksgiving. But there is a 1% chance that she will get the coronavirus from them. If she gets the coronavirus, her utility is -6000 utils. Her total utility would be -5950 (i.e. 50 – 6000). She gets 0 utils from staying healthy (total utility = 50 + 0 = 50). If Hannah doesn't visit her family for Thanksgiving, then she gets -25 utils from eating turkey cold cuts alone in front of the TV. In that case, there is no risk of getting sick. What will Hannah do? a. Visit her family for Thanksgiving b. Not visit her…