Given: On September 1 of every year in J. K. Rowling’s beloved Harry Potter novels, several hundred British teenagers board the Hogwarts Express to travel to the Hogwarts School of Witchcraft and Wizardry. Once they arrive, those entering the school for their first year undergo the venerable ritual of being sorted into one of the school’s four Houses: Gryffindor, Ravenclaw, Hufflepuff or Slytherin. In a national study by TIME Magazine of 500,000 Americans, 227,500 (45.5%) are in the Ravenclaw House. Construct a 95% confidence interval for the proportion of all American’s who would be in the Ravenclaw House.     Question: Discuss the difference between confidence and probability when referring to a confidence interval. Why do we use the phrase "we are 95% confident that ..." instead of saying "we have a 95% probability that ..."?

College Algebra
10th Edition
ISBN:9781337282291
Author:Ron Larson
Publisher:Ron Larson
Chapter8: Sequences, Series,and Probability
Section8.6: Counting Principles
Problem 5ECP: How many permutations of the letters W, X, Y, and Z are possible?
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Given: On September 1 of every year in J. K. Rowling’s beloved Harry Potter novels,
several hundred British teenagers board the Hogwarts Express to travel to
the Hogwarts School of Witchcraft and Wizardry. Once they arrive, those
entering the school for their first year undergo the venerable ritual of being
sorted into one of the school’s four Houses: Gryffindor, Ravenclaw,
Hufflepuff or Slytherin.
In a national study by TIME Magazine of 500,000 Americans, 227,500 (45.5%) are
in the Ravenclaw House. Construct a 95% confidence interval for the proportion of
all American’s who would be in the Ravenclaw House.
 
 
Question: Discuss the difference between confidence and probability when referring to a confidence interval. Why do we use the phrase "we are 95% confident that ..." instead of saying "we have a 95% probability that ..."?
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