Find the probability that in five years' time : (a) both machines will be performing a usual function, (b) neither will be operating, (c) only machine B will be operating, and (d) at least one of the machines will be operating.
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- 1. ABC inc. stock is currently selling for $30, one year from today the stock price can either increase by 20% or decrease by 15%. The probability of an increase in the stock price is equal to 0.3. The one-year risk-free rate is 5% What is the value of a European put that expires in one year with an exercise price of $24. 2. Graphically, show the value and the profit and loss of the following butterfly position: Long in a call with an exercise price of $30, short in 2 calls with an exercise price of $45, and long in a call with an exercise price of 60. All calls are written on the same stock and have the same maturity. 3. "Early exercise of an American option on a stock that does not pay any dividend is not optimal regardless of whether the option is a Call or a Put". True, False, or Uncertain. Explain.Sarah and Thomas are going bowling. The probability that Sarah scores more than 175 is 0.5 , and the probability that Thomas scores more than 175 is 0.1 . Their scores are independent. Round your answers to four decimal places, if necessary. (a) Find the probability that both score more than 175 . (b) Given that Thomas scores more than 175 , the probability that Sarah scores higher than Thomas is 0.4 . Find the probability that Thomas scores more than 175 and Sarah scores higher than Thomas.The route used by a certain motorist in commuting to work contains two intersections with traffic signals. The probability that he must stop at the first signal is 0.45, the analogous probability for the second signal is 0.5, and the probability that he must stop at at least one of the two signals is 0.9. (a) What is the probability that he must stop at both signals? X (b) What is the probability that he must stop at the first signal but not at the second one? X (c) What is the probability that he must stop at exactly one signal?
- 6. A small company can employ 3 workers. Each worker independently stays on the job for an exponentially distributed time with a mean of one year and then quits. When a worker quits, it takes the company an exponentially distributed time with a mean of 1/10 of a year to hire a replacement for that worker (independently of how long it takes to replace other workers). If the company takes in $1000 per day in revenue when it has 3 workers, $800 per day when it has 2 workers, and $500 per day when it has 0 or 1 workers, what is the company's long-run average daily revenue?Javier volunteers in community events each month. He does not do more than five events in a month. He attends exactly five events 30% of the time, four events 25% of the time, three events 25% of the time, two events 10% of the time, one event 5% of the time, and no events 5% of the time.(a) Find the probability that Javier volunteers for less than three events each month. P(X < 3) = (b) Find the expected number of events Javier volunteers in a month. dont roundJack has just been given a ten-question multiple choice quiz in history class. Each question has five answers, of which only one is correct. Since Jack has not attended class recently, he does not know any of the answers. Assuming Jack guesses randomly on all ten questions, find the probability that he will answer six or more of the questions correctly and avoid an F.
- The circuit shown below operates if and only if there is some path of functional devices from left to right. The probability that each device functions is shown for each device and the devices operate independently of each other. What is the probability that the circuit operates? 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.95 0.95 0.9 (A) None of these (B) 0.5263 (C) 0.1642 (D) 0.9850 (E) 0.9702Benford's Law claims that numbers chosen from very large data files tend to have "1" as the first nonzero digit disproportionately often. In fact, research has shown that if you randomly draw a number from a very large data file, the probability of getting a number with "1" as the leading digit is about 0.301. Suppose you are an auditor for a very large corporation. The revenue report involves millions of numbers in a large computer file. Let us say you took a random sample of n = 250 numerical entries from the file and r = 60 of the entries had a first nonzero digit of 1. Let p represent the population proportion of all numbers in the corporate file that have a first nonzero digit of 1. Test the claim that p is less than 0.301 by using α = 0.01. What does the area of the sampling distribution corresponding to your P-value look like? a. The area in the right tail of the standard normal curve. b. The area not including the right tail of the standard normal curve.…