Famed baseball statistician Hank Johnson once again fails to predict World Series winner In his youth, Hank Johnson pitched for the San Francisco Giants, the New York Yankees, and the St. Louis Cardinals. He retired in 1986 after seriously injuring his pitching shoulder. Johnson began commenting on Cardinals games for a local St. Louis radio station. His commentary grew in popularity and eventually became a regular feature in sports television. Johnson’s astonishing memory and his ability to include any player’s previous statistics, hits, strikes, injuries, and errors in his commentary with uncanny accuracy make his commentary very popular and much sought after. Because of Johnson’s prowess with players’ statistics, it is quite surprising that his prediction for this year’s World Series was so inaccurate. Johnson seems surprised as well, stating that he “cannot understand what happened.” Apparently, according to Johnson, the Phillies had the best chance. They had the individual players with the most hits, the least errors, and the fewest injuries. Johnson has gone over his statistics again and again and cannot find any errors in the statistics that he used. He cannot explain why the Phillies did so poorly in the playoffs nor why the Giants won. Hank Johnson and the author of the article are guilty of the faulty reasoning called A) Reductionism B) Ecological Fallacy

Ciccarelli: Psychology_5 (5th Edition)

5th Edition

ISBN:9780134477961

Author:Saundra K. Ciccarelli, J. Noland White

Publisher:Saundra K. Ciccarelli, J. Noland White

Chapter1: The Science Of Psychology

Section: Chapter Questions

Problem 1TY

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Famed baseball statistician Hank Johnson once again fails to predict World Series winner

In his youth, Hank Johnson pitched for the San Francisco Giants, the New York Yankees, and the St. Louis Cardinals. He retired in 1986 after seriously injuring his pitching shoulder. Johnson began commenting on Cardinals games for a local St. Louis radio station. His commentary grew in popularity and eventually became a regular feature in sports television. Johnson’s astonishing memory and his ability to include any player’s previous statistics, hits, strikes, injuries, and errors in his commentary with uncanny accuracy make his commentary very popular and much sought after.

Because of Johnson’s prowess with players’ statistics, it is quite surprising that his prediction for this year’s World Series was so inaccurate. Johnson seems surprised as well, stating that he “cannot understand what happened.” Apparently, according to Johnson, the Phillies had the best chance. They had the individual players with the most hits, the least errors, and the fewest injuries. Johnson has gone over his statistics again and again and cannot find any errors in the statistics that he used. He cannot explain why the Phillies did so poorly in the playoffs nor why the Giants won.

Hank Johnson and the author of the article are guilty of the faulty reasoning called

A) Reductionism

B) Ecological Fallacy

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