Everyday, James reverses his car from his driveway on to the road in such a way that there is a very small probability P that his car will be involved in a collision. ( i) Show that the probability that there will be no collision in a five-day week is (1−P)^5 and state one assumption that is made in your answer. (iii) Let P = 0.001. Check that the Poisson approximation can be used, and find the approximate probability that James will avoid a collision in 500 days.

Calculus For The Life Sciences
2nd Edition
ISBN:9780321964038
Author:GREENWELL, Raymond N., RITCHEY, Nathan P., Lial, Margaret L.
Publisher:GREENWELL, Raymond N., RITCHEY, Nathan P., Lial, Margaret L.
Chapter14: Discrete Dynamical Systems
Section14.3: Determining Stability
Problem 17E
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Everyday, James reverses his car from his driveway on to the road in such a way that there is a very small probability P that his car will be involved in a collision. (

i) Show that the probability that there will be no collision in a five-day week is (1−P)^5 and state one assumption that is made in your answer.

(iii) Let P = 0.001. Check that the Poisson approximation can be used, and find the approximate probability that James will avoid a collision in 500 days.

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