Due to a recession, expected inflation this year is only 1.75%. However, the inflation rate in Year 2 and thereafter is expected to be constant at some level above 1.75%. Assume that the expectations theory holds and the real risk-free rate (r*) is 1.5%. If the yield on 3-year Treasury bonds equals the 1-year yield plus 0.5%, what inflation rate is expected after Year 1?

Essentials Of Investments
11th Edition
ISBN:9781260013924
Author:Bodie, Zvi, Kane, Alex, MARCUS, Alan J.
Publisher:Bodie, Zvi, Kane, Alex, MARCUS, Alan J.
Chapter1: Investments: Background And Issues
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Due to a recession, expected inflation this year is only 1.75%. However, the inflation rate in Year 2 and thereafter is expected to be constant at some level above 1.75%. Assume that the expectations theory holds and the real risk-free rate (r*) is 1.5%. If the yield on 3-year Treasury bonds equals the 1-year yield plus 0.5%, what inflation rate is expected after Year 1? Round your answer to two decimal places.

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