Define and explain the forecasting technique which places more emphasis on recent values and explain how it is done ?
Q: Does a correct forecast prove that your forecast method was correct? Why or why not?
A: Forecasting is important as it helps a business in setting the correct level of inventory, set the…
Q: Explain how do we measure accuracy of a forecasting model
A: We utilize the following criteria to determine a prediction model's efficiency:
Q: Give three example of unethical conduct involving forecasting and the ethical principle each…
A: Deceptive conduct is an activity that falls outside of what is considered ethically right or…
Q: Explain why it's important to keep track of forecasting errors.
A: For a time series or other phenomenon of interest, forecast error is the difference between the…
Q: Explain when to use of a time series forecasting techniques and what assumption are made ?
A: The statistical procedures perform statistical analysis on historical data to forecast the…
Q: Describe the different forecasting methods and provide an example of when each is most applicable.
A: Below is the solution:-
Q: Explain what are the use of a time series forecasting and discuss what assumption are made ?
A: Globalization is the process of bringing together individuals, businesses, and governments on a…
Q: Explain when to use a time series forecasting techniques
A: The statistical techniques are applied to past records and hence to the projected variables.…
Q: Explain the forecasting term with the help of least squares ?
A: Least Squares Method The least squares technique is a type of mathematical regression analysis that…
Q: Explain what forecasting techniques makes use of written surveys or telephone interviews
A: Operations management manages the internal operation. It starts with the procurement and ends with…
Q: What type of forecasting method would you recommend to a start-up retailer in terms of quantities,…
A: Demand forecasting is very important for any startup when you have an absence of resources and…
Q: What are some of the consequences of poor forecasts? Explain.
A: The Consequences of the poor forecast are:
Q: Please explain what meant by forecasting with least squares
A: Forecasting is a technique for creating accurate predictions based on data. It is used to foresee…
Q: What is forecast accuracy and what are the different methods to check it?
A: Forecast Accuracy is basically how accurately the predicted value matches the actual value. In…
Q: How can the Forecast technique be improved?
A: Forecasting is a tool or technique which is used to predict future demand, risk and to analyze the…
Q: Explain the methods that are used to develop the forecasting methodology
A: Forecasting is a continuous activity that the business employs in both the short term and long term.…
Q: Explain what can a company do to resolve the problem of forecasting accuracy?
A: Forecasting is the technique of anticipating the future using facts from the past and present.…
Q: Explain what are some of the potential advantage of a more formalized approach to forecasting
A: Forecasting is a method of accurately anticipating future demand to plan for it. Manufacturing and…
Q: Give three examples of unethical conduct involving forecasting and the ethical principle each…
A: Forecasting is the planning process that helps to predict the future demand using present or past…
Q: How has the technology had an impact on forecasting?
A: Technology plays an important role in forecasting and has the ability to have a huge impact. We will…
Q: our manager is trying to determine what forecasting method to use. Based upon the following…
A: first we put the value on excel sheet then applying weighted moving average formula which shown in…
Q: What are the issues associated with qualitative forecasting, and how are these overcome? Provide…
A: Qualitative forecasting is a strategy for making forecasts about an organization's funds that…
Q: What are the main advantages that quantitative techniques for forecasting have over qualitative…
A: Forecasting is the process of estimating potential demands as well as the resources that will be…
Q: Explain the Principles for the Forecasting Process?
A: There are many forecasting models and they differ in degree of complexity and amount of the data…
Q: Discuss what happens to the ability to forecast for period farther into the future?
A: Forecasting is a technique for generating precise forecasts of future trends based on historical…
Q: Discuss the methods that are used to develop the forecasting methodology?
A: Forecasting is a continuous process that the business engages in both in the short and long term. It…
Q: Explain why is accurate forecasting so important to companies that use a continuous replenishment…
A: Forecasting is the practice of making future assumptions based on historical and current data, most…
Q: List the analytical tools and methods used in forecasting?
A: Forecasting is the process of making assumptions of the future on the basis of past and present data…
Q: Discuss the techniques of forecasting and its types. Also explain the limitations of each technique?
A: Forecasting - The process which is related with making the predictions for the future and the basis…
Q: From the choice of simple moving average, weighted moving average, exponential smoothing, and linear…
A: Forecasting is the process of making assumptions of future events based on past and present…
Q: Explain the analytical tools and methods used in forecasting ?
A: Many statistical techniques are used to examine the data, which helps to summarize data first from…
Q: What are the major consequences of accurate forecasting? explain
A: Forecasting is defined as a process of developing predictions based on the past and…
Q: Identify and explain the areas other than mentioned where the Hard Rock Cafe could use forecasting…
A: Hard Rock Cafe, Inc. is a chain of subject eateries established in 1971 by Isaac Tigrett and Peter…
Q: Which forecasting technique can place the most emphasis on recent values? How does it do this?
A: The forecasting technique that can place the most emphasis on recent values is exponential smoothing…
Q: Explain when is time series forecasting used ?
A: Forecasting is the process of predicting future events based on previous data and information.
Q: Describe the process of Forecasting in the Service Sector?
A: Forecasting is the way toward making forecasts of things to come dependent on over a wide span of…
Q: What is the concept of seasonality? How do we forecast based on seasonal data?
A: Seasonality of time series data refers to the phenomenon of recurrent up and down periods in series…
Q: Describe the key factors and trade-offs to consider when choosing a forecasting technique.
A: The main factors are cost and accuracy..
Q: State and describe the forecasting technique which places more emphasis on recent values and explain…
A: To be determined: the forecasting technique which places more emphasis on recent values and explains…
Q: State examples of industries affected by seasonality and reasons to eliminate seasonality in their…
A: To be determined: examples of industries affected by seasonality and reasons to eliminate…
Q: Discuss what is seasonality and how forecast is done using data that has seasonality?
A: Time series analysis describes seasonal patterns as recurrent upward and downward cyclic patterns in…
Q: How can you evaluate the accuracy of a forecast model? explain in detail
A: Forecasting is the process of making assumptions of the future on the basis of past and present data…
Define and explain the
Step by step
Solved in 2 steps
- The file P13_42.xlsx contains monthly data on consumer revolving credit (in millions of dollars) through credit unions. a. Use these data to forecast consumer revolving credit through credit unions for the next 12 months. Do it in two ways. First, fit an exponential trend to the series. Second, use Holts method with optimized smoothing constants. b. Which of these two methods appears to provide the best forecasts? Answer by comparing their MAPE values.The Baker Company wants to develop a budget to predict how overhead costs vary with activity levels. Management is trying to decide whether direct labor hours (DLH) or units produced is the better measure of activity for the firm. Monthly data for the preceding 24 months appear in the file P13_40.xlsx. Use regression analysis to determine which measure, DLH or Units (or both), should be used for the budget. How would the regression equation be used to obtain the budget for the firms overhead costs?What forecasting techniques are used in the management of technology and innovation?
- Scenario 3 Ben Gibson, the purchasing manager at Coastal Products, was reviewing purchasing expenditures for packaging materials with Jeff Joyner. Ben was particularly disturbed about the amount spent on corrugated boxes purchased from Southeastern Corrugated. Ben said, I dont like the salesman from that company. He comes around here acting like he owns the place. He loves to tell us about his fancy car, house, and vacations. It seems to me he must be making too much money off of us! Jeff responded that he heard Southeastern Corrugated was going to ask for a price increase to cover the rising costs of raw material paper stock. Jeff further stated that Southeastern would probably ask for more than what was justified simply from rising paper stock costs. After the meeting, Ben decided he had heard enough. After all, he prided himself on being a results-oriented manager. There was no way he was going to allow that salesman to keep taking advantage of Coastal Products. Ben called Jeff and told him it was time to rebid the corrugated contract before Southeastern came in with a price increase request. Who did Jeff know that might be interested in the business? Jeff replied he had several companies in mind to include in the bidding process. These companies would surely come in at a lower price, partly because they used lower-grade boxes that would probably work well enough in Coastal Products process. Jeff also explained that these suppliers were not serious contenders for the business. Their purpose was to create competition with the bids. Ben told Jeff to make sure that Southeastern was well aware that these new suppliers were bidding on the contract. He also said to make sure the suppliers knew that price was going to be the determining factor in this quote, because he considered corrugated boxes to be a standard industry item. Is Ben Gibson acting legally? Is he acting ethically? Why or why not?Scenario 3 Ben Gibson, the purchasing manager at Coastal Products, was reviewing purchasing expenditures for packaging materials with Jeff Joyner. Ben was particularly disturbed about the amount spent on corrugated boxes purchased from Southeastern Corrugated. Ben said, I dont like the salesman from that company. He comes around here acting like he owns the place. He loves to tell us about his fancy car, house, and vacations. It seems to me he must be making too much money off of us! Jeff responded that he heard Southeastern Corrugated was going to ask for a price increase to cover the rising costs of raw material paper stock. Jeff further stated that Southeastern would probably ask for more than what was justified simply from rising paper stock costs. After the meeting, Ben decided he had heard enough. After all, he prided himself on being a results-oriented manager. There was no way he was going to allow that salesman to keep taking advantage of Coastal Products. Ben called Jeff and told him it was time to rebid the corrugated contract before Southeastern came in with a price increase request. Who did Jeff know that might be interested in the business? Jeff replied he had several companies in mind to include in the bidding process. These companies would surely come in at a lower price, partly because they used lower-grade boxes that would probably work well enough in Coastal Products process. Jeff also explained that these suppliers were not serious contenders for the business. Their purpose was to create competition with the bids. Ben told Jeff to make sure that Southeastern was well aware that these new suppliers were bidding on the contract. He also said to make sure the suppliers knew that price was going to be the determining factor in this quote, because he considered corrugated boxes to be a standard industry item. As the Marketing Manager for Southeastern Corrugated, what would you do upon receiving the request for quotation from Coastal Products?The owner of a restaurant in Bloomington, Indiana, has recorded sales data for the past 19 years. He has also recorded data on potentially relevant variables. The data are listed in the file P13_17.xlsx. a. Estimate a simple regression equation involving annual sales (the dependent variable) and the size of the population residing within 10 miles of the restaurant (the explanatory variable). Interpret R-square for this regression. b. Add another explanatory variableannual advertising expendituresto the regression equation in part a. Estimate and interpret this expanded equation. How does the R-square value for this multiple regression equation compare to that of the simple regression equation estimated in part a? Explain any difference between the two R-square values. How can you use the adjusted R-squares for a comparison of the two equations? c. Add one more explanatory variable to the multiple regression equation estimated in part b. In particular, estimate and interpret the coefficients of a multiple regression equation that includes the previous years advertising expenditure. How does the inclusion of this third explanatory variable affect the R-square, compared to the corresponding values for the equation of part b? Explain any changes in this value. What does the adjusted R-square for the new equation tell you?
- Scenario 4 Sharon Gillespie, a new buyer at Visionex, Inc., was reviewing quotations for a tooling contract submitted by four suppliers. She was evaluating the quotes based on price, target quality levels, and delivery lead time promises. As she was working, her manager, Dave Cox, entered her office. He asked how everything was progressing and if she needed any help. She mentioned she was reviewing quotations from suppliers for a tooling contract. Dave asked who the interested suppliers were and if she had made a decision. Sharon indicated that one supplier, Apex, appeared to fit exactly the requirements Visionex had specified in the proposal. Dave told her to keep up the good work. Later that day Dave again visited Sharons office. He stated that he had done some research on the suppliers and felt that another supplier, Micron, appeared to have the best track record with Visionex. He pointed out that Sharons first choice was a new supplier to Visionex and there was some risk involved with that choice. Dave indicated that it would please him greatly if she selected Micron for the contract. The next day Sharon was having lunch with another buyer, Mark Smith. She mentioned the conversation with Dave and said she honestly felt that Apex was the best choice. When Mark asked Sharon who Dave preferred, she answered, Micron. At that point Mark rolled his eyes and shook his head. Sharon asked what the body language was all about. Mark replied, Look, I know youre new but you should know this. I heard last week that Daves brother-in-law is a new part owner of Micron. I was wondering how soon it would be before he started steering business to that company. He is not the straightest character. Sharon was shocked. After a few moments, she announced that her original choice was still the best selection. At that point Mark reminded Sharon that she was replacing a terminated buyer who did not go along with one of Daves previous preferred suppliers. Ethical decisions that affect a buyers ethical perspective usually involve the organizational environment, cultural environment, personal environment, and industry environment. Analyze this scenario using these four variables.Scenario 4 Sharon Gillespie, a new buyer at Visionex, Inc., was reviewing quotations for a tooling contract submitted by four suppliers. She was evaluating the quotes based on price, target quality levels, and delivery lead time promises. As she was working, her manager, Dave Cox, entered her office. He asked how everything was progressing and if she needed any help. She mentioned she was reviewing quotations from suppliers for a tooling contract. Dave asked who the interested suppliers were and if she had made a decision. Sharon indicated that one supplier, Apex, appeared to fit exactly the requirements Visionex had specified in the proposal. Dave told her to keep up the good work. Later that day Dave again visited Sharons office. He stated that he had done some research on the suppliers and felt that another supplier, Micron, appeared to have the best track record with Visionex. He pointed out that Sharons first choice was a new supplier to Visionex and there was some risk involved with that choice. Dave indicated that it would please him greatly if she selected Micron for the contract. The next day Sharon was having lunch with another buyer, Mark Smith. She mentioned the conversation with Dave and said she honestly felt that Apex was the best choice. When Mark asked Sharon who Dave preferred, she answered, Micron. At that point Mark rolled his eyes and shook his head. Sharon asked what the body language was all about. Mark replied, Look, I know youre new but you should know this. I heard last week that Daves brother-in-law is a new part owner of Micron. I was wondering how soon it would be before he started steering business to that company. He is not the straightest character. Sharon was shocked. After a few moments, she announced that her original choice was still the best selection. At that point Mark reminded Sharon that she was replacing a terminated buyer who did not go along with one of Daves previous preferred suppliers. What should Sharon do in this situation?Scenario 4 Sharon Gillespie, a new buyer at Visionex, Inc., was reviewing quotations for a tooling contract submitted by four suppliers. She was evaluating the quotes based on price, target quality levels, and delivery lead time promises. As she was working, her manager, Dave Cox, entered her office. He asked how everything was progressing and if she needed any help. She mentioned she was reviewing quotations from suppliers for a tooling contract. Dave asked who the interested suppliers were and if she had made a decision. Sharon indicated that one supplier, Apex, appeared to fit exactly the requirements Visionex had specified in the proposal. Dave told her to keep up the good work. Later that day Dave again visited Sharons office. He stated that he had done some research on the suppliers and felt that another supplier, Micron, appeared to have the best track record with Visionex. He pointed out that Sharons first choice was a new supplier to Visionex and there was some risk involved with that choice. Dave indicated that it would please him greatly if she selected Micron for the contract. The next day Sharon was having lunch with another buyer, Mark Smith. She mentioned the conversation with Dave and said she honestly felt that Apex was the best choice. When Mark asked Sharon who Dave preferred, she answered, Micron. At that point Mark rolled his eyes and shook his head. Sharon asked what the body language was all about. Mark replied, Look, I know youre new but you should know this. I heard last week that Daves brother-in-law is a new part owner of Micron. I was wondering how soon it would be before he started steering business to that company. He is not the straightest character. Sharon was shocked. After a few moments, she announced that her original choice was still the best selection. At that point Mark reminded Sharon that she was replacing a terminated buyer who did not go along with one of Daves previous preferred suppliers. What does the Institute of Supply Management code of ethics say about financial conflicts of interest?
- State and describe the forecasting technique which places more emphasis on recent values and explain how it is done ?What is seasonality?How do we forecast using data that has seasonality?Describe why such forecasting devices as moving average , weighted averages and exponential smoothing are not well suited for data series that have trends ?