Consider the following time series data. Week 1 2 3 4 5 6 Value 19 14 16 11 17 15 Develop the three-week moving average forecasts for this time series. Compute MSE and a forecast for week 7 (to 2 decimals if necessary). MSE   The forecast for week    Use alpha=.2  to compute the exponential smoothing forecasts for the time series. Compute MSE and a forecast for week 7 (to 2 decimals). MSE   The forecast for week    Compare the three-week moving average approach with the exponential smoothing approach using alpha=.21 . Which appears to provide more accurate forecasts based on MSE?- Select your answer -The three-week moving average provides a better forecast since it has a smaller MSEThe exponential smoothing approach provides a better forecast since it has a smaller MSEThe three-week moving average provides a better forecast since it has a larger MSE

Calculus For The Life Sciences
2nd Edition
ISBN:9780321964038
Author:GREENWELL, Raymond N., RITCHEY, Nathan P., Lial, Margaret L.
Publisher:GREENWELL, Raymond N., RITCHEY, Nathan P., Lial, Margaret L.
Chapter7: Integration
Section7.CR: Chapter 7 Review
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Consider the following time series data.

Week 1 2 3 4 5 6
Value 19 14 16 11 17 15

Develop the three-week moving average forecasts for this time series. Compute MSE and a forecast for week 7 (to 2 decimals if necessary).

MSE  
The forecast for week   

Use alpha=.2  to compute the exponential smoothing forecasts for the time series. Compute MSE and a forecast for week 7 (to 2 decimals).

MSE  
The forecast for week   

Compare the three-week moving average approach with the exponential smoothing approach using alpha=.21 . Which appears to provide more accurate forecasts based on MSE?
- Select your answer -The three-week moving average provides a better forecast since it has a smaller MSEThe exponential smoothing approach provides a better forecast since it has a smaller MSEThe three-week moving average provides a better forecast since it has a larger MSE

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