Can the slope of yield curve predict future economic growth? Why?

ENGR.ECONOMIC ANALYSIS
14th Edition
ISBN:9780190931919
Author:NEWNAN
Publisher:NEWNAN
Chapter1: Making Economics Decisions
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2) Can the slope of yield curve predict future economic growth? Why?
3) The following is the plot of term spread between the 10-year and the
3-month US Treasury securities in the past decades. Based on your
discussion in 2), what is your general prediction (i.e., strong or weak) of the
economic growth in US in 2023?
5.00
4.00
3.00
2.00
1.00
0.00
-1.00
Term spread
примити
Oct-1983
Oct-1986
Oct-1989
Oct-1992
Oct-1995
Oct-1998
Oct-2001
Oct-2004
Oct-2007
Oct-2010
Oct-2013
Oct-2016
Oct-2019
Oct-2022
Transcribed Image Text:2) Can the slope of yield curve predict future economic growth? Why? 3) The following is the plot of term spread between the 10-year and the 3-month US Treasury securities in the past decades. Based on your discussion in 2), what is your general prediction (i.e., strong or weak) of the economic growth in US in 2023? 5.00 4.00 3.00 2.00 1.00 0.00 -1.00 Term spread примити Oct-1983 Oct-1986 Oct-1989 Oct-1992 Oct-1995 Oct-1998 Oct-2001 Oct-2004 Oct-2007 Oct-2010 Oct-2013 Oct-2016 Oct-2019 Oct-2022
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