ENGR.ECONOMIC ANALYSIS
ENGR.ECONOMIC ANALYSIS
14th Edition
ISBN: 9780190931919
Author: NEWNAN
Publisher: Oxford University Press
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**Investment Strategy Analysis**

The Carringtons aim to invest $100,000 in stock market investments and commodities. Their returns are contingent on the state of the economy. In an expanding economy, stock market investments are predicted to yield more returns than commodities. Conversely, during an economic recession, commodities perform better.

The expected percentage change in value for each investment under different economic conditions is presented in the payoff matrix:

|                            | Expanding Economy | Economic Recession |
|----------------------------|-------------------|--------------------|
| Stock Market Investment    | 15%               | -10%               |
| Commodity Investment       | 5%                | 10%                |

**Analysis:**

(a) **Optimal Investment Strategy:**

For an initial investment of $100,000, the optimal allocation according to the matrix is:
- **Stocks:** $16,667 
- **Commodities:** $83,333 

(b) **Expected Profit:**

Using the optimal strategy, the Carringtons can expect a profit of:
- **$6,666**

Note: The calculations are rounded to the nearest dollar.
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Transcribed Image Text:**Investment Strategy Analysis** The Carringtons aim to invest $100,000 in stock market investments and commodities. Their returns are contingent on the state of the economy. In an expanding economy, stock market investments are predicted to yield more returns than commodities. Conversely, during an economic recession, commodities perform better. The expected percentage change in value for each investment under different economic conditions is presented in the payoff matrix: | | Expanding Economy | Economic Recession | |----------------------------|-------------------|--------------------| | Stock Market Investment | 15% | -10% | | Commodity Investment | 5% | 10% | **Analysis:** (a) **Optimal Investment Strategy:** For an initial investment of $100,000, the optimal allocation according to the matrix is: - **Stocks:** $16,667 - **Commodities:** $83,333 (b) **Expected Profit:** Using the optimal strategy, the Carringtons can expect a profit of: - **$6,666** Note: The calculations are rounded to the nearest dollar.
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