An ol company is considering two sites on which to dr. The stes are described in the following table. Complete parts (a) through (b) below Site A Profit ol is found $120 million Loss if no ol is found: $20 milion Probability of finding ol: 02 Site B Profit if ol is found $180 million Loss no ol is found: $30 milion Probability of finding ot: 0.1 a. Which site has the larger expected profit? Site Ahas the larger expected profit Site B has the larger expected profit The expected profits for both sites are the same b.f the expected profit for both sites is not the same, by how mudch is the expected profit larger? milion (Round to the nearest tenth as needed.)
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- The owners of Sweet-Tooth Bakery have determined thatthey need to expand their facility in order to meet their increaseddemand for baked goods. Th e decision is whether to expand nowwith a large facility or expand small with the possibility of havingto expand again in fi ve years.Th e owners have estimated the following chances for demand:• Th e likelihood of demand being high is 0.70.• Th e likelihood of demand being low is 0.30.Profi ts for each alternative have been estimated as follows:• Large expansion has an estimated profi tability of either$80,000 or $50,000, depending on whether demand turnsout to be high or low.• Small expansion has a profi tability of $40,000, assumingdemand is low.• Small expansion with an occurrence of high demand wouldrequire considering whether to expand further. If the bakeryexpands at this point, the profi tability is to be $50,000.(a) Draw a decision tree showing the decisions, chanceevents, and their probabilities, as well as the profi tabilityof…2. Garysburg Fire Rescue (GFR) is considering three different locations for a new fire station. Using factor rating, GFR has created the following table. When rating these locations, GFR used a 5- point scale, where 1 means unfavorable and 5 means excellent. (Noteshaper Scenario #26) Factor Weight Location 1 Location 2 Location 3 Cost of land 0.5 4 1 Accessibility 0.3 2 2 4 Size of Land 0.2 1 3 3 a. Which of the following statements are true and which are false? I. The cost of the available land parcel is of the greatest importance in this analysis. I. Location 2 has better accessibility than location 3. GFR considers the size of the available land parcel to be the least important III. factor.Emerson Electric is considering the purchase of equipment that will allow the company to manufacture a new line of wireless devices for home appliance control. The first cost will be $80,000 and the life estimated is 6 years with a salvage value of $10,000. Three different salespeople have provided estimates regarding the added revenue the equipment will generate. Salespersons 1,2, and 3 have made estimates of $10,000 , $16,000 , and $18,000 per year respectively if the Companys MARR is 8% per year find the PW of each salespersons estimates.
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- Amazon had planned to open a second headquarters in Brooklyn that would have allegedly added 25,000 jobs to the region, increased property values, generated more business for local store owners, and generated additional sales and income tax revenue for the government. Some people were concerned, however, that increased home prices could lead to higher rent for people who rented apartments in Brooklyn. Which of the following statements are true? O Allowing Amazon to locate its second headquarters in Brooklyn is a Pareto improvement (i.e., makes one or more persons better off without making anyone worse off) even if some renters will have to pay higher rent. O Allowing Amazon to locate its second headquarters in Brooklyn would not be Kaldor-Hicks efficient if some renters will have to pay higher rent. O Allowing Amazon to locate its second headquarters in Brooklyn is a Kaldor-Hicks improvement if the gain in jobs and tax revenue more than offsets any losses experienced by renters. O…Exhibit A. Southland Corporation’s decision to produce a new line of recreational products resulted in the need to construct either a small plant, medium or large plant. The best selection of plant size depends on how the marketplace reacts to the new product line. To conduct an analysis, marketing management has decided to view the possible long-run demand as low, medium, or high. The following payoff table shows the projected profit in millions of dollars: Long-run Demand Plant Size Low Medium High Small 225 280 300 Medium 120 280 370 Large 75 280 750 Referring to Exhibit A, a. Identify the decision to be made, the decision alternatives, the chance event and the states of nature for this problem. b. What alternative should be chosen under the maximin criterion? Assume that the prior probabilities for low, medium and high demand are 0.2, 0.5 and 0.3, respectively. c. What is the recommendation if the Bayes' Decision Rule is…Exhibit A. Southland Corporation’s decision to produce a new line of recreational products resulted in the need to construct either a small plant, medium or large plant. The best selection of plant size depends on how the marketplace reacts to the new product line. To conduct an analysis, marketing management has decided to view the possible long-run demand as low, medium, or high. The following payoff table shows the projected profit in millions of dollars: Long-run Demand Plant Size Low Medium High Small 225 280 300 Medium 120 280 370 Large 75 280 750 Referring to Exhibit A, Assume that the prior probabilities for low, medium and high demand are 0.2, 0.5 and 0.3, respectively. d. Construct a decision tree and solve this problem. Which decision alternative should be chosen and what is the expected payoff? e. Consolidate the data and results in a table and update the decision tree to facilitate what-if analysis.
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