MATLAB: An Introduction with Applications
MATLAB: An Introduction with Applications
6th Edition
ISBN: 9781119256830
Author: Amos Gilat
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons Inc
Bartleby Related Questions Icon

Related questions

Question

An oil company purchased an option on land in Alaska. Preliminary geologic studies assigned the following prior probabilities.

 

P(high-quality oil) = 0.30
P(medium-quality oil) = 0.20
P(no oil) = 0.50

 

 

If required, round your answers to two decimal places.

(a) What is the probability of finding oil?
   
   
(b) After 200 feet of drilling on the first well, a soil test is taken. The probabilities of finding the particular type of soil identified by the test are as follows.
   
 
P(soil | high-quality oil) = 0.20
P(soil | medium-quality oil) = 0.80
P(soil | no oil) = 0.20
   
  How should the firm interpret the soil test?
  The probability of finding oil is good. Given the probability of finding good soil, the oil company is more likely to find   oil.
   
  What are the revised probabilities?
   
 
Events P(Ai) P(S | Ai)   P(Ai ∩ S)   P(Ai | S)
High Quality (A1)            
Medium Quality (A2)            
No Oil (A3)            
      P(S)=      
 
   
  What is the new probability of finding oil?
   

 

Expert Solution
Check Mark
Knowledge Booster
Background pattern image
Similar questions
Recommended textbooks for you
Text book image
MATLAB: An Introduction with Applications
Statistics
ISBN:9781119256830
Author:Amos Gilat
Publisher:John Wiley & Sons Inc
Text book image
Probability and Statistics for Engineering and th...
Statistics
ISBN:9781305251809
Author:Jay L. Devore
Publisher:Cengage Learning
Text book image
Statistics for The Behavioral Sciences (MindTap C...
Statistics
ISBN:9781305504912
Author:Frederick J Gravetter, Larry B. Wallnau
Publisher:Cengage Learning
Text book image
Elementary Statistics: Picturing the World (7th E...
Statistics
ISBN:9780134683416
Author:Ron Larson, Betsy Farber
Publisher:PEARSON
Text book image
The Basic Practice of Statistics
Statistics
ISBN:9781319042578
Author:David S. Moore, William I. Notz, Michael A. Fligner
Publisher:W. H. Freeman
Text book image
Introduction to the Practice of Statistics
Statistics
ISBN:9781319013387
Author:David S. Moore, George P. McCabe, Bruce A. Craig
Publisher:W. H. Freeman