An actress has a probability of getting offered a job after a try-out of 0.11. She plans to keep trying out for new jobs until she gets offered. Assume outcomes of try-outs are independent. Find the probability she will need to attend more than 3 try-outs.

A First Course in Probability (10th Edition)
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ISBN:9780134753119
Author:Sheldon Ross
Publisher:Sheldon Ross
Chapter1: Combinatorial Analysis
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**Problem Statement:**

An actress has a probability of getting offered a job after a try-out of 0.11. She plans to keep trying out for new jobs until she gets offered. Assume outcomes of try-outs are independent. Find the probability she will need to attend more than 3 try-outs.

**Solution Explanation:**

To solve this problem, we need to determine the probability that the actress will not get a job offer in the first 3 try-outs and thus will need to attend more than 3 try-outs.

1. **Probability of Not Getting an Offer in One Try-Out:**
   - The probability of not getting a job in a single try-out is \(1 - 0.11 = 0.89\).

2. **Probability of Not Getting an Offer in the First Three Try-Outs:**
   - Since the outcomes are independent, we multiply the probabilities of not getting an offer in each of the first three try-outs:
   \[
   (0.89)^3 = 0.89 \times 0.89 \times 0.89
   \]

3. **Calculation:**
   - Performing the calculation gives:
   \[
   (0.89)^3 = 0.704969
   \]

Therefore, the probability that she will need to attend more than 3 try-outs is approximately 0.705, or 70.5%.
Transcribed Image Text:**Problem Statement:** An actress has a probability of getting offered a job after a try-out of 0.11. She plans to keep trying out for new jobs until she gets offered. Assume outcomes of try-outs are independent. Find the probability she will need to attend more than 3 try-outs. **Solution Explanation:** To solve this problem, we need to determine the probability that the actress will not get a job offer in the first 3 try-outs and thus will need to attend more than 3 try-outs. 1. **Probability of Not Getting an Offer in One Try-Out:** - The probability of not getting a job in a single try-out is \(1 - 0.11 = 0.89\). 2. **Probability of Not Getting an Offer in the First Three Try-Outs:** - Since the outcomes are independent, we multiply the probabilities of not getting an offer in each of the first three try-outs: \[ (0.89)^3 = 0.89 \times 0.89 \times 0.89 \] 3. **Calculation:** - Performing the calculation gives: \[ (0.89)^3 = 0.704969 \] Therefore, the probability that she will need to attend more than 3 try-outs is approximately 0.705, or 70.5%.
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