a. Compute a three-semester moving average forecast for semesters 4 through 9. b. Compute the exponentially smoothed forecast (α = 0.2) for the enrollment ata. c. Compare the two forecasts using MAD and indicate the most accurate.

Practical Management Science
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Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.
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12.5 The chairperson of the department of management at Tech wants to forecast the
number of students who will enroll in operations management next semester in order
to determine how many sections to schedule. The chair has accumulated the following
enrollment data for the past eight semesters:
Semester
1
2
3
4
5
6
Students Enrolled in OM
270
310
250
290
370
410
Transcribed Image Text:12.5 The chairperson of the department of management at Tech wants to forecast the number of students who will enroll in operations management next semester in order to determine how many sections to schedule. The chair has accumulated the following enrollment data for the past eight semesters: Semester 1 2 3 4 5 6 Students Enrolled in OM 270 310 250 290 370 410
data.
7
8
400
450
a. Compute a three-semester moving average forecast for semesters 4 through 9.
b. Compute the exponentially smoothed forecast (a = 0.2) for the enrollment
c. Compare the two forecasts using MAD and indicate the most accurate.
Transcribed Image Text:data. 7 8 400 450 a. Compute a three-semester moving average forecast for semesters 4 through 9. b. Compute the exponentially smoothed forecast (a = 0.2) for the enrollment c. Compare the two forecasts using MAD and indicate the most accurate.
Expert Solution
Step 1 Introduction:-

Forecasting is a technique used to predict future outcomes on the basis of past data. In business forecasting techniques are commonly used for different areas like allocating the budget, future expenses, sales and demand in the upcoming period, etc. There are various forecasting techniques. The techniques are chosen as per the type or characteristic of the forecast to be done. Both software and manual -based forecasting is also done in different fields.

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