A truth serum has the property that 93% of the guilty suspects are properly judged while, of course, 7% of the guilty suspects are improperly found innocent. On the other hand, innocent suspects are misjudged 3% of the time. If the suspect was selected from a group of suspects of which only 7% have ever committed a crime, and the serum indicates that he is guilty, what is the probability that he is innocent? Use Bayes theorem to solve.
A truth serum has the property that 93% of the guilty suspects are properly judged while, of course, 7% of the guilty suspects are improperly found innocent. On the other hand, innocent suspects are misjudged 3% of the time. If the suspect was selected from a group of suspects of which only 7% have ever committed a crime, and the serum indicates that he is guilty, what is the probability that he is innocent? Use Bayes theorem to solve.
Holt Mcdougal Larson Pre-algebra: Student Edition 2012
1st Edition
ISBN:9780547587776
Author:HOLT MCDOUGAL
Publisher:HOLT MCDOUGAL
Chapter11: Data Analysis And Probability
Section11.8: Probabilities Of Disjoint And Overlapping Events
Problem 2C
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A truth serum has the property that 93% of the guilty suspects are properly judged while, of course, 7% of the guilty
suspects are improperly found innocent. On the other hand, innocent suspects are misjudged 3% of the time. If the
suspect was selected from a group of suspects of which only 7% have ever committed a crime, and the serum
indicates that he is guilty, what is the
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