A rainy year is 80% likely to be followed by a rainy year and a drought is 60% likely to be followed by another drought year. Suppose the rainfall condition is known for the initial year to be ‘rainy’. Then the vector ? 0 = 10 gives probabilities of rainy and drought for known initial year

A First Course in Probability (10th Edition)
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ISBN:9780134753119
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Chapter1: Combinatorial Analysis
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A rainy year is 80% likely to be followed by a rainy year and a drought is 60% likely to be followed by another drought year. Suppose the rainfall condition is known for the initial year to be ‘rainy’. Then the vector ? 0 = 10 gives probabilities of rainy and drought for known initial year.
(a) Write out the stochastic matrix.
(b) Find the probabilities for:
(i) Year 1
(ii)

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