MATLAB: An Introduction with Applications
MATLAB: An Introduction with Applications
6th Edition
ISBN: 9781119256830
Author: Amos Gilat
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons Inc
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A chartered analyst can choose any one of three routes to get to work-A, B or C. The probabilities that she arrives on time using routes A, B, and C are 50%, 52%, and 60% respectively. If she chooses routes A, B, C, with 40%, 30%, and 30% chances, respectively, and arrives on time, calculate the probability that she chose route A.
Expert Solution
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Step 1

Let A denotes she choses route A,

B denotes she chooses route B,

C denotes she choses route C,

 And T denotes she arrives on time.

The probability of she choses route A, B, and C is 

PA=0.40PB=0.30, and P(C)=0.30

The probability of she arrives on time using the route A, B, and C is 

P(A|T)=0.50PB|T=0.52 and PC|T=0.60.

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