
ENGR.ECONOMIC ANALYSIS
14th Edition
ISBN: 9780190931919
Author: NEWNAN
Publisher: Oxford University Press
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Gg.57.

Transcribed Image Text:6. The Fisher effect and the cost of unexpected inflation
Suppose the nominal interest rate on savings accounts is 12% per year, and both actual and expected inflation are equal to 5%.
Complete the first row of the table by filling in the expected real interest rate and the actual real interest rate before any change in the money supply.
Time Period
Before increase in MS.
Immediately after increase
in MS
Nominal Interest
Rate
(Percent)
12
12
Expected
Inflation
(Percent)
5
5
Actual
Inflation
(Percent)
S
10
The unanticipated change in inflation arbitranly benefits
Expected Real Interest
Rate
(Percent)
Actual Real Interest
Rate
(Percent)
Now suppose the Fed unexpectedly increases the growth rate of the money supply, causing the inflation rate to rise unexpectedly from 5% to 10% per
year.
Complete the second row of the table by filling in the expected and actual real interest rates on savings accounts immediately after the increase
the money supply (MS).
Now consider the long-run impact of the change in money growth and inflation. According to the Fisher effect, as expectations adjust to the new,
higher inflation rate, the nominal interest rate will to
% per year.
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