2. In year 1, the yield on 1-year T-bills is 1%, and on 10-year T-bond is 5%. In year 2, 1-year yield becomes 1.5%, and 10-year yield becomes 8.5%. 1. In year 2, does the market expect future short-term interest rate to rise or fall, compared with year 1? Why? Explain carefully. 2. Has the probability of a recession risen or decreased?

Microeconomics
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Chapter16: Interest, Rent, And Profit
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2. In year 1, the yield on 1-year T-bills is 1%, and on 10-year T-bond is 5%. In
year 2, 1-year yield becomes 1.5%, and 10-year yield becomes 8.5%.
1. In year 2, does the market expect future short-term interest rate to rise
or fall, compared with year 1? Why? Explain carefully.
2. Has the probability of a recession risen or decreased?
Transcribed Image Text:2. In year 1, the yield on 1-year T-bills is 1%, and on 10-year T-bond is 5%. In year 2, 1-year yield becomes 1.5%, and 10-year yield becomes 8.5%. 1. In year 2, does the market expect future short-term interest rate to rise or fall, compared with year 1? Why? Explain carefully. 2. Has the probability of a recession risen or decreased?
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