1. What would be the expected net present value (NPV) of this project if the project’s cost of capital is 14%?

Financial Management: Theory & Practice
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Author:Brigham
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Chapter26: Real Options
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Problem 3P: Wansley Lumber is considering the purchase of a paper company, which would require an initial...
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Lion Co. is considering a four-year project requiring an initial investment of $12,000. The base-case cash flows for this project are projected to be $14,000 per year. The best-case cash flows are projected to be $26,000 per year, and the worst-case cash flows are projected to be –$4,500 per year. The company’s analysts have estimated that there is a 50% probability that the project will generate the base-case cash flows. The analysts also think that there is a 25% probability of the project generating the best-case cash flows and a 25% probability of the project generating the worst-case cash flows.

1. What would be the expected net present value (NPV) of this project if the project’s cost of capital is 14%?

A.$28,868

B.$25,260

C.$24,057

D.$27,666

2.A company now wants to take into account its ability to abandon the project at the end of year 2 if the project ends up generating the worst-case scenario cash flows. If it decides to abandon the project at the end of year 2, the company will receive a one-time net cash inflow of $3,500 (at the end of year 2). The $3,500 the company receives at the end of year 2 is the difference between the cash the company receives from selling off the project’s assets and the company’s –$4,500 cash outflow from operations. Additionally, if it abandons the project, the company will have no cash flows in years 3 and 4 of the project.

Using the information in the preceding problem, find the expected NPV of this project when taking the abandonment option into account.

A.$33,778

B.$31,075

C.$35,129

D.$27,022

3. What is the value of the option to abandon the project?

A$2,372

B.$2,965

C.3,113

D.2,520

E.2,669

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